fakeout

🎭📉 Kas ir viltus izlaušanās? Kā izvairīties no viltus izlaušanās kā profesionālis! 📉🎭

🔍 Vai tu kādreiz esi iegājis darījumā, domājot, ka esi nokļuvis perfektā izlaušanās, tikai lai redzētu, kā tirgus apgriežas un atstāj tevi ar zaudējumiem? Apsveicu—tu tikko piedzīvoji viltus izlaušanos. Viltus izlaušanās ir viltīgas kustības, kas apmāna tirgotājus, pārkāpjot svarīgas līmeņus un pēc tam stingri atgriežoties. Bet šeit ir labas ziņas: kad tu sapratīsi, kā tās darbojas, tu vari izvairīties no kritiena viņās. 🔍

🚪💨 Kas tieši ir viltus izlaušanās? 💨🚪
🎯 Viltus izlaušanās notiek, kad cena pārkāpj svarīgu pretestību vai atbalstu, bet turpina ne tajā virzienā. Tā vietā tā ātri atgriežas un pārvietojas pretējā virzienā, atstājot iestrēgušus tirgotājus, kas steidzas iziet. Tas ir kā atvērt durvis, kuras domā, ka ved uz iespēju—tikai lai iekristu slazdā. 🎯

Izlaušanās un maldināšana ir daļa no vienas un tās pašas stāsta. Abas notiek, kad tirgus spiež pret svarīgām līnijām, bet tās nenozīmē to pašu. Jauniem tirgotājiem tās bieži izskatās identiskas sākumā. Jūs redzat spēcīgu kustību pāri atbalstam vai pretestībai, sprādzienu svārstīguma, un tas šķiet, ka jauns trends sākas. Bet reālā aina ir niansētāka. Izlaušanās parāda, ka tirgus ir gatavs pieņemt jaunus cenas. Maldināšana parasti ir ātra virzība, kas paredzēta, lai izraisītu reakcijas pirms atgriešanās.

GM, and welcome to Day 31! ✨
Yesterday, we learned that volume confirms the strength behind a move. Today, we tackle one of the most frustrating parts of trading: seeing a price break out of a range, buying in excitement... and then watching it immediately reverse. You’re left holding a losing trade, wondering, “How could I have known that was fake?”
If you’ve ever asked yourself these questions, this post is for you. We’re going directly to the pain points.
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Your Top Breakout Questions, Answered
1. "Why do I keep getting caught in fakeouts?"
Answer:
Most likely, you’re buying the first touch of a new high. The moment price pierces a resistance level, FOMO kicks in. The market knows this and often creates a false move to trap emotional buyers before reversing. The solution is to wait for confirmation, not chase the initial spike.
2. "How long should I wait to see if it's real?"
Answer:
You’re not waiting for a specific time; you’re waiting for specific signals. A true breakout needs to prove itself. Give it at least a few candles (1-4 hours on an hourly chart) to see if it can hold above the breakout level and if volume supports it.
3. "What if I miss the move while waiting?"
Answer:
This is the critical mindset shift. It is better to miss a trade than to lose on a fakeout. Real breakouts start trends, not single candles. A strong move will give you a pullback or retest to enter. If there’s no retest and it just flies, that trade wasn’t yours—and chasing it is high risk.
4. "How do I know which resistance level is important?"
Answer:
The more times a price has tested a level (touched it and reversed), the stronger that level becomes. A level tested 3+ times is far more significant for a potential breakout than one touched only once. Focus on the levels with the most history.
5. "What's the #1 sign a breakout will fail?"
Answer:
Low Volume. It’s the most reliable warning. A price moving up on low volume is like a car accelerating with an empty gas tank—it will sputter out. No significant buying pressure = no sustained move.
6. "Is a long wick always bad on a breakout?"
Answer:
Almost always, yes. A long upper wick (a shooting star) at a breakout shows price was violently rejected higher. It means sellers aggressively defended that level. Unless accompanied by massive volume on the next candle that swallows the wick, treat it as a major fakeout signal.
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Your 3-Step "Real or Fake" Survival Checklist
To navigate this, use this simple filter. Do not buy until you can check at least 2 of these 3 boxes:
✅ BOX 1: The Volume Spike
· Is the volume on the breakout candle significantly higher than the recent average? This is non-negotiable for conviction.
✅ BOX 2: The Clean Close
· Did the breakout candle close FIRMLY above the resistance level? A close right at the line or with a long wick is weak.
✅ BOX 3: The Successful Retest
· After breaking out, does the price dip back to the old resistance (now new support) and bounce? This is the ultimate confirmation the level has flipped.
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Let’s Walk Through an Example
Say Ethereum has struggled below $3,500** for a week. A green candle pushes it to **$3,550.
The Wrong Move: Buy immediately at $3,550, driven by FOMO.
The Right Move: Pause. Ask:
1. Volume: Is the volume bar huge? (Check Box 1).
2. Close: Did it close near $3,550, or did it wick up to $3,600 and close at $3,520? (Check Box 2).
3. Retest: Can it hold above $3,500 over the next few hours, or does it fall back below? (Check Box 3).
If it passes the test, the retest dip becomes your high-confidence entry, not the initial spike.
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Today’s Big Takeaway: Trade the Confirmation, Not the Hype
Your goal is not to catch the very first pixel of a breakout. Your goal is to identify breakouts that have a high probability of continuing. This requires patience and a checklist.
The market will always present more opportunities. Protecting your capital from fakeouts is more important than catching every single move.
> > SAVE THIS 3-STEP CHECKLIST. <<
It is your shield against the most common and costly trading trap.
#Breakout #fakeout #trading #crypto

Izlaušanās un viltus izlaušanās ir abu reakcijas uz tirgu, kas spiež pret svarīgiem līmeņiem, bet tās stāsta ļoti atšķirīgas stāstus, kad paskatās aiz pirmā kustības uzplūda. Kādam, kurš vēl mācās, tās bieži izskatās vienādi. Cena izspiež cauri līmenim, svārstīgums pieaug, un šķiet, ka sākas jauna tendence. Realitāte ir atkarīga no tā, vai tirgus patiešām pieņem šīs jaunās cenas vai arī vienkārši sasniedz līmeni, lai aktivizētu pasūtījumus pirms atgriešanās.

Katrs nozīmīgs līmenis grafikā ir veidots no neskaitāmu tirgotāju pasūtījumiem. Tieši aiz šīm zonām atrodas apstāšanās un gaidošo izlaušanās pasūtījumu grupas. Šie likviditātes kabati padara šīs zonas pievilcīgus mērķus. Lielāki spēlētāji to zina, tāpēc vieta, kas atrodas tieši ārpus galvenā līmeņa, bieži vien kļūst par visvairāk manipulēto teritoriju.