bitcoinstrategy

The "New Year" rally of early 2026 has hit a significant wall. While Bitcoin remains the undisputed king of digital assets, today’s price action is testing the resolve of even the most seasoned HODLers. Let’s break down the technicals, the on-chain data, and the macro noise.
​🔍 1. Technical Indicators: The "Bulls vs. Bears" Stand-off
​The charts are currently giving us mixed signals, which usually precedes a massive volatility spike.
​Moving Averages: Bitcoin is currently hovering just above its 50-day EMA ($86,200). Historically, a daily close below this level has led to a retest of the 200-day SMA, currently sitting way down at $74,500.
​RSI (Relative Strength Index): We are currently at 42. We aren't "oversold" yet (which is below 30), but we are definitely in the "Fear" zone. For a trend reversal, we need to see the RSI reclaim the 50 level on the 4-hour timeframe.
​MACD: We just witnessed a bearish crossover on the daily chart. This suggests that while we might see "dead cat bounces," the path of least resistance for the next 72 hours is likely sideways or down.
​🐳 2. On-Chain Insight: Whales are Quietly "Eating"
​While retail investors are panic-selling, the on-chain data tells a different story:
​Whale Accumulation: Over the last 48 hours, "mega-whale" wallets (1,000+ BTC) have added roughly 110,000 BTC between the $84,000 and $86,000 levels.
​Liquidation Heatmap: There is a massive "liquidity pool" sitting at $85,500. Markets are like magnets—they often dip just low enough to "flush" these leveraged long positions before reversing. Expect a wick down to $85.5k before a real recovery begins.
​🌍 3. Macro Context: Tariffs and Tensions
​We can't ignore the "Trump Noise" today. The administration's latest stance on "Greenland Tariffs" and the resulting friction with the European bloc have sent the DXY (Dollar Index) into a frenzy.
​Gold as a Mirror: Gold hitting $5,000/oz is a classic "flight to safety." When traditional investors are scared of trade wars, they buy gold. Once that initial fear stabilizes, that "safe haven" capital often flows back into Bitcoin as "Digital Gold."
​💡 My Trading Strategy
​I am currently Neutral-to-Bullish. I am not opening any new long positions at $87,000. Instead, I have set limit buy orders at:
​$85,600 (To catch the liquidation wick)
​$84,200 (Heavy support from late 2025)
​Take Profit Targets: I’m looking for a relief rally back to $92,500 by the second week of February, provided the Fed hints at the expected 25bps rate cut.
​💬 Community Pulse
​The market thrives on contrarian thinking. While the "Fear & Greed Index" is at 38 (Fear), I’m looking for entries.
​What about you?
​Are you buying the dip at $87k?
​Waiting for a flush to $80k?
​Or sitting in $USDT until the macro noise settles?
​Drop your thoughts below! 👇
​#BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoNews2026 #BitcoinStrategy $BTC $BNB $ETH

Tirgus tieši ir piedzīvojis milzīgu drebēšanu. GameStop, kas kādreiz bija top 25 korporatīvais Bitcoin turētājs, ir pārvietojis savu visu dārgumu 4,710 BTC uz Coinbase Prime. Ja tu nepievērsi uzmanību šim $421 miljonu pārvietojumam, tu tirgojies akli. 🕵️‍♂️
Papīra rokas realitātes pārbaude $80M zaudējumos
Šeit ir neapstrādātie dati par to, kas notiek aizkulisēs. Tas nav tikai pārsūtīšana, tas izskatās pēc pilnīgas iziešanas.
Kapitulācija savā labākajā izpausmē GameStop nopirka savas somas 2025. gada maijā vidējā cenā $107,900. Ar BTC pašreizējo cenu ap $89,220 viņi skatās uz $76M līdz $80M realizētu zaudējumu, ja pārdos tagad.

Tā ir vieglākā attaisnojuma pasaule: « Tirgus tiek manipulēts », « Valis mani ir nozagusi », « Tas ir svārstīguma vaina ».
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