会发光的西红柿

$BTC $ETH 75000Below, at this position, you can start trying a tentative light-position, multi-band trade. Just like yesterday: after the breakout happens in the early morning hours, look for an opportunity to go for it! Try with a light position, then add another entry every 500 points. In terms of pattern, it’s the same as last night at midnight. Last night at midnight was: after breaking above, there was a drop. Tonight, see if it can break below and then complete a rebound. In terms of execution, try to make your order average price as favorable as possible, and keep your position size lighter—so that when tomorrow comes to rebalance and exit, you won’t be too late. In this kind of low-level rebound bet, the first thing is: keep the position light. Second: be sure to set your stop-loss properly. See if you can aim for a rebound of 4000 to 5000 points! Wishing you all good luck, brothers. In the low area, don’t chase shorts. Even if you want to short, you must wait until tomorrow when the formation is relatively weaker, and then come back for a short in the afternoon!

This year we streamed for about a month to summarize for everyone. This year we livestreamed for a total of around 40 days. Big Pie and Ether jointly planned about 140 orders. In total, we lost 3 orders. Why didn’t we keep streaming? At the time, it really was because there was only one assistant—it was too exhausting. There wasn’t enough time. Every day, we had to handle clients, watch the charts closely, livestream, and also make trading plans. I only slept about 3–4 hours a day, so we had to stop streaming.

This time, our Tomato community is back for a rematch. Remember, “back” is only to start better. Since our return, up to now, from last Wednesday, 9/2, we’ve livestreamed 6 sessions, 6 days in a row. The live orders at current price, and all the fans in the livestream room have taken profit. Many people have messaged and DM’d me saying they want to learn the technical skills and build their own trading system. So our livestream has a major upgrade: four assistants will share on the livestream with you! The spot-group live stream is synchronized and publicly shared with Binance!

16:20–17:20 in the afternoon: assistant recap summary!

17:20–18:20 in the afternoon: indicator teaching and technical guidance!

18:20–19:20 in the afternoon: sharing the Tomato community’s medium- to long-term layout ideas!

19:20–20:20 in the afternoon: sharing mindset and the thought process for solving stuck-in-position orders!

20:20–22:00 in the evening: Tomato teacher himself will publicly guide trades online and give free sharing of current-price orders!

I’m back. The world should return to how it was. All mountains and seas can be leveled—upon return, still the king. The peak was never my endpoint; it’s my starting point. I’ve been biding my time for long enough—this round, I’m taking everything back. See you in the livestream room today! I’m still full of passion and fighting spirit, bringing you the most exciting livestream, the most accurate current-price orders—taking everyone to glide through the crypto world with ease! Comment “666” for a random drop of pork knuckle rice (my treat)! See you tonight!

$BTC $ETH Let’s chat about after-hours trading ideas

$BTC $ETH On Wednesday, the big pie made a sudden spike on the short-term and then pulled back. In the afternoon, there was an overall strong bullish surge. By evening, I directly abandoned the idea of shorting; under the live-room witness, at the 84700 level, we publicly opened and laid out a long once, then it surged and reached 85500. As for the US stock market, although it opened higher, there wasn’t any obvious trend of opening higher and continuing higher—the bullish momentum couldn’t be sustained effectively—so we exited everything right away. Next, the US stock market headed lower; it quickly pulled back and gave us a move below 83500. As for ETH, it reached 2660. We then opened and laid out another swing long. This morning, when BTC surged upward, and in the evening when ETH also surged upward, we precisely captured both moves and exited at the right times. BTC took a smooth profit of 3000 points, and ETH took a smooth profit of 100 points!

　　In terms of structure, actually on Wednesday—also including what I’ve emphasized multiple times since last week—on the daily and monthly charts, in October, there will definitely be a major breakout. So our positioning has always been long-biased. However, the timing for the turning point window arrived slightly later than expected, but that also matches the normal trading style in the crypto market: first it consolidates and drags, then it brings a breakout in the box/range. Wednesday’s wick (shadow) is the best answer. And today, Friday, I went back to fill the wick. In terms of trend, basically there hasn’t been much change lately; it’s still mostly long. The trumpet for a counterattack has already been blown. Next, if nothing unexpected happens, it will basically be the era of the bulls.

　　On Friday, for BTC, focus on going long at 85400–85900 (short-term). Watch the target at 87400; if it breaks down, then directly look at 91000.

　　Also, today is Non-Farm Payrolls. Tonight at 20:20, I’ll do an extra live stream for everyone!

$BTC $ETH Still as the saying goes, give the market a bit more time—give the market a bit more time to lure in bears. The rise on the monthly chart and the daily chart is definitely not something that can’t happen; it’s just a matter of timing. Pullback? Price-stabbing moves? A pin bar? Or a high-low engulfing candle? It doesn’t affect the swing-trading layout. We said the 5–7 swing, and today’s rally has all been realized. Don’t miss the Non-Farm Payrolls live broadcast tonight—details on the strategy will be updated shortly!

$BTC $ETH The impact of the options market data is quite significant. After the favorable news, the price immediately surged upward. With this rhythm and momentum, the overall follow-through has been more than sufficient. During our live broadcast, we called for one short position at 84,200, then after 300 points we immediately told everyone to place a stop loss. After that, at 84,700 we told everyone to go long directly, taking a profit of 700–800 points! The live trading setup was the same. Many people have been asking: you always say there are changes at the last moment—so how exactly do those changes happen? Well, I believe that anyone who watched the live broadcast today has a very clear example. Tonight, for the next leg of this move, you can go long at any point for targets 86,500–87,000. You can go long directly at any point and expect a one-way continuation rally. Just make sure that as long as the US stocks are not seeing a major negative surprise, then over the next few days this is likely to be a one-way uptrend driven by longs!

$BTC $ETH early positioning ahead of the US close, preparing for a one-way move

$BTC $ETH In a blink, it’s already vacation. On Tuesday, the big BTC breakout above 84300—shorting from above the 84300 level as provided by the Dabi—was once again an extreme validation. The short-term rebound stops here. During the session, once we entered short positions laid out above 84300, the price started pulling back all the way down. In the short term, we directly grabbed over a thousand points. This is the advantage of “pinning” the right levels in a choppy, range-bound market. Don’t rush your entry—levels are the decisive edge. The better the level, the less panic you’ll have in your positions, and the more you’ll be able to hold patiently.

Structurally, after the day chart’s cross star, the likely turnaround window is basically about to arrive. We originally expected a turn on Monday and Tuesday, but the timing seems to be slightly late. Still, the later it comes, the larger the space it can deliver in one direction. Looking at the monthly chart overall, our bullish thinking hasn’t changed much. On smaller timeframes, after last night’s dip, price has remained weak throughout, and the overall rebound space is still not big. The current rebound strength is far from enough—it’s still weak in terms of rhythm. Rebound first to short, then after a pullback reaches the proper level, continue long. Tonight has ADP data support, but personally I expect the market to remain range-bound.

On Wednesday night, watch BTC for a short above 84300; the target is to watch below 82700. For the downside, look for longs around 82000–82500, with a target of around 84000+.

$BTC $ETH On Monday, the Big Cake didn’t continue the expected one-sided long move upward after breaking, but instead it directly broke below. During the daytime session, our long positions at the 84200 area were reduced after an early upward push, then price dropped and hit the stop loss directly. After that, around 83600, we chased another short and captured about 900 points of profit. In the evening, we already shared the idea during the live stream—no need to explain the logic in detail, but our levels were also extremely precise. For the live trading layout, we followed the same plan in real time. In the evening, we placed a short at 83700, took profit with a 1000-point trailing stop and closed the trade. Then we went long at 82600, and took profit with 84000 as the take-profit level, closing the trade. After that, we placed another short at 84200 with a take-profit at 83000, closing again. Excluding the daytime, from the moment the evening live stream started, our live setups have captured a total of 3600 points—this is the classic way to trade in a range.

With this market continuing to bounce and probe the lows, it has brought a new trading range. In such a range-bound environment, we should still maintain the rhythm of buying low and selling high. However, what needs to be considered now is that, with support being tested multiple times, once it breaks, it may bring a heavy, high-volume downside move. So for longs, things on the chart are still not very optimistic recently. But the trend and timing won’t change. Yesterday’s chart perfectly verified this technical pattern, so within this rhythm, we should focus on going long at lower levels. Shorts can be entered when there are better locations—wait for the market to show consecutive large opposite-direction rallies and clear reversal signals before bottom-fishing. It’s not too late for that. This is also why the long trade yesterday was closed after taking more than 1000 points. Structurally, the one-sided momentum still needs to be extended. On Tuesday, we will still follow the range-trading approach.

For Tuesday, my personal suggestion for Big Cake: on rebounds, watch for shorts around 84400–84900; on pullbacks, look for longs around 82200–82700. Targets: aim for about 2000 points on each side.

$BTC $ETH Next week’s trading ideas and plan layout, and begin execution

$BTC $ETH A week has gone by. Over the past week, the market overall still went through a corrective retracement followed by confirmation of support. I mentioned this at 87,000 as well—be cautious of the rapid pullback that often comes right after a violent rebound. From Monday to today, our on-the-record trading plan has been quite flawless. We only lost one trade, by 200 points. The overall pacing was also handled quite precisely. In fact, it’s basically just following the market trend, and during the consolidation, widening the stop-loss as much as possible. If the stop-loss continues to be hit and you keep taking the same direction, there isn’t really much “technique.” Every single candlestick is already speaking for the market; what you need to do is understand it, not argue with it. If you’re wrong, adjust in time—if you believe in the plan, then there shouldn’t be too many problems.

Now, regarding this structure: on the weekly timeframe, it is very likely that this week will close bullish and won’t change. Consecutive bullish closes do have a high-and-then-retrace, but remember that the upper wicks on the consecutive bullish candles can basically be ignored. That’s also why on Friday we persisted with going long below 84,000. On the daily timeframe, after the doji, Friday didn’t bring too much in the way of directional momentum—but with this kind of reversal/doji-type signal, the one-sided move next week is basically unavoidable.

Next, a few points:

1: Returning to the news side, bad news has basically been exhausted. Going forward, fundamentals will most likely still be bullish. This is made clear by Trump’s current stance. The overall daily retracement has not broken the existing trend structure.

2: Although the market keeps retracing, it has neither formed a consecutive-bearish “chain” type of high-volume retracement, nor did Friday’s retracement have the momentum to break the lows.

3: In the smaller timeframe, the current definition is at most a downward shift of the consolidation range. The top-and-bottom conversion level mentioned in the live stream still remains.

So for today’s intraday trading: keep the retracement-then-long mindset and follow through. For Sunday’s big coin short-term, focus on 83,600–84,100 for longs, and the target to watch is around 85,900.

This week we opened trades with leverage, but we often forgot to do that—so next week we may close them. Also, many people have been asking me to show you what trades I’m placing every day. Next week, we will also publicly show it for everyone. In addition, the daily live stream from 20:20–22:20 remains unchanged. Tonight’s live session will be on—see you there.

$BTC $ETH Multiple-long just took profit a moment ago. So next, we’ll still look at longs and shorts around this trend—don’t get caught in either direction. After yesterday’s daily candle closed, today there may be a single-direction bullish trend. Tonight we won’t be shorting; just follow the idea of pullbacks to go long. Yesterday I didn’t stream because it was Mid-Autumn Festival and I was with my family for dinner. Tonight I’ll stream as usual. Don’t miss it—see you in the live room tonight!

$BTC $ETH Thursday is another perfect day. In the afternoon, it was already clearly indicated that the big pancake (BTC) is definitely empty/short—specifically, we should look at the follow-through of breaking below and maintaining the level. The main reason is that the overall morning order book/market structure is still relatively weak. We went short all the way through on Wednesday, so the sideways range on Thursday will definitely be weak. That’s why in the afternoon we basically went short from the highest point we offered. Over the past few days, in the live stream we’ve been constantly emphasizing the importance of the 83000 support/resistance pivot. Therefore, regarding yesterday’s actual trading plan, we initiated the short around 84500 and held it all the way down to 83000 to capture 1500 points. Then, at the lower level around 83000, we went long again and gained another 1000+ points. After that, the price rebounded to 84600 and we shorted once more. All three setups combined secured nearly 4000 points. This is what we call perfectly nailing the range-bound zone’s exact levels.

On the daily structure, after a big bullish candle (the big yang candle), the market started turning bearish and retracing. This process is still best regarded as a pullback to confirm support and a correction—because the most ideal sign would be if it does NOT form a continuous string of bearish candles with uninterrupted pullback. And yesterday’s closed doji could either be a signal of a turning point or a continuation signal. From the perspective of available upside/downside room, the probability of a turnaround is relatively high. In the smaller timeframe, yesterday’s pullback did not provide much room for a big rebound. In this kind of market, we mainly have to look at the strength of the Europe session: if the Europe session continues to break lower, then the evening session is very likely to be a one-direction short. If Europe is weak but does not break lower, then the U.S. session is likely to be strong. The current rhythm is still about consolidation while pulling indicators in a weak, range-choppy pattern. As for trading, we keep the same approach as yesterday: go short first, then long. We shouldn’t over-optimistically expect a one-sided bearish move.

For Friday, my personal suggestion is to go long around 83000–83500. The target to watch is around 85000. For the downside/upper areas, watch for selling opportunities above 84500. The target would be around 83000 as well.

$BTC $ETH On Wednesday, the big pie first rose and then fell. After the morning provided a fake long signal, it began to pull back. In the afternoon, our plan was to go long on the retracement. In our live trading, we also indeed entered longs. When the market’s pullback had already broken through 86200, this key level, I knew that this momentum would likely lead to a big drop in the evening. So the 86400 long position, 200 points, was stopped out directly. Whether it was a carried order or our live position, everything was immediately cut. Then we reversed and chased a short. As expected, in the evening it dipped to 85300; the short position then took profit, grabbing 900 points. After the dip, it stayed flat at 85400 and didn’t move. So in last night’s live broadcast, I stressed again that this momentum is very likely to continue in a weak trend.

So in last night’s live broadcast, we publicly led the fans and our own live trading: short at 85400, add to the short at 85800. I also mentioned the stop loss would be placed at 86100. In the evening, when it rebounded to 85900, we once again launched an aggressive sell-off, directly dipping below 84000. The short position took down more than 1600 points in one step. After we were done with our tasks, the market rebounded, and we again informed everyone in text: at the current price of 84400, short directly with a target of 83500. After the midnight close, it continued aggressively to break the low again, taking nearly 1000 points!

Trading is exactly like this. It’s impossible for every wave to go smoothly, but you must always follow your own brain—think it and do it. Once a level is broken, stop out; don’t hold onto losing positions. If you’re wrong, you’re wrong. Yesterday’s price action was basically the best answer. On the daily chart, after a big bullish candle broke out, it began a sequence of consecutive bearish pullbacks. This type of momentum is still considered a correction stage; you can’t yet decide whether it has truly turned into a new trend. On the smaller time frames, after breaking the low at midnight, it didn’t bring a big rebound. If it stays sideways or only rebounds slightly, then this day’s momentum must be weak. It’s just that during this kind of stage, where the shorts are at levels that are hard to judge, keep short positions from looking too far—thousands of points is basically enough, just like yesterday.

In the afternoon, for the big pie, watch for shorts around 84200-84700. For the target, focus on around 83000.

$BTC $ETH Just because I’ve been busy, I haven’t updated everyone, but I still managed to remind everyone earlier: short at the 84,400 current price, targeting 83,500. Now everything has hit! The Air Force never gives up—everyone, take off! If you haven’t done it yet, do it. Have a good night’s sleep!

$BTC $ETH Long story short: I was a bit busy earlier, so I didn’t update everyone. All the short positions have just been closed. I already explained live very clearly: sell short 85,500, then add more at 85,800. Set the stop loss at 86,100. Today was too hectic—my short position just took profit directly for 1300 points. Brothers, on the bounce you can continue to short at 84,400 from the current price. Keep watching the target near 83,500~83,700. Keep pulling the wool on short-term trades!