"DraftKings Stock Sinks 7.6% as Needham Data Show Kalshi Leading NFL Prediction Volume"
DraftKings shares sank 7.6% Thursday to $22.47, extending its losing streak to three sessions while new Needham data showed Kalshi with a commanding lead in NFL Week 1 prediction-market volume. The weakness developed during regular trading, not before the open. DraftKings was little changed at $24.38 at 9:29:59 a.m. ET, versus Wednesday’s $24.33 close, before sliding through Thursday’s session; Flutter also fell 5.2%, while the Nasdaq rose 1.7%. Kalshi’s NFL Lead Raises Competitive Pressure Needham’s exchange-level analysis of NFL Week 1 showed $14.6 billion of sports-and-parlay prediction-market volume across eight exchanges, matching the first 14 weeks of last NFL season combined. Kalshi accounted for 76% of that volume, while DraftKings’ DKeX exchange accounted for around 3% of both total volume and Needham’s estimated consumer-equivalent handle. That comparison comes with an important qualification. Needham said exchange data can overstate Kalshi and Polymarket because other operators route activity through their exchanges, while understating DraftKings because it distributes volume across multiple exchanges. The firm expects DraftKings to concentrate more activity on DKeX over time. The exchange-share data also has a current counterpoint. Stifel’s Jeffrey Stantial reiterated a Buy rating Thursday while emphasizing DraftKings’ parlay capabilities. Stifel said CFTC-regulated single-wager sports volume fell 30% month over month in August to $18.6 billion, while “combo” volume—effectively sports parlays—rose 22% to $18.8 billion. The firm argued that DraftKings and Flutter can compete for market-making flow using their pricing and correlation models and balance-sheet capacity, while cautioning that notional exchange volume can exaggerate parlay activity relative to conventional handle. Meanwhile, the regulatory environment for prediction markets continued to evolve Thursday. In a new no-action position for passive software providers, CFTC staff said it would not recommend enforcement over introducing-broker or associated-person registration solely for qualifying software that facilitates trading through registered intermediaries and designated contract markets. The regulatory picture is not one-directional. A day earlier, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals blocked Kalshi from offering sports-event contracts on two California tribal lands, finding the tribes were likely to prevail on claims involving federal Indian gaming law and tribal ordinances. The case underscores that prediction markets are expanding while their regulatory boundaries remain contested. DraftKings’ Prediction Push Meets a Profitability Test DraftKings entered football season already committing substantial resources to Predictions. In its second-quarter results, the company said revenue fell 5% year over year to $1.443 billion, mainly because of customer-friendly sports outcomes and greater promotional reinvestment in Sportsbook and Predictions. Management nevertheless maintained 2026 revenue guidance of $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $700 million to $900 million, while saying the core business remained on track for roughly $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA. The stock initially rallied after those results. DraftKings released them after the Aug. 6 close of $22.17, and shares jumped 8.4% to $24.03 on Aug. 7. DraftKings shares then climbed to $26.14 by Aug. 14. That recovery then encountered another company-specific development. On Aug. 17, DraftKings launched a proposed $600 million term loan B and a new $750 million revolving credit facility, with term-loan proceeds intended partly to repurchase convertible notes due in 2028. Shares fell 2.2% in morning trading following the announcement and closed 3.2% lower at $25.30; they dropped another 5.0% the next session to $24.04. The company later closed an upsized $700 million term loan alongside the $750 million revolver. The earnings-window analyst response was mixed. Benchmark raised its price target to $30 from $29 while maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating, while JPMorgan cut its target to $33 from $34, Guggenheim to $33 from $35, and Barclays to $34 from $35, with all three retaining their positive ratings. Guggenheim said its reduction followed updated estimates incorporating DraftKings’ second-quarter results and reaffirmed its 2026 outlook. Citi subsequently moved in the other direction, raising its target to $32 from $30 while keeping ‘Buy’ and arguing that prediction markets could expand DraftKings’ addressable market. Thursday’s $22.47 finish leaves DraftKings only about 1.4% above its Aug. 6 pre-earnings close, but about 14.0% below its Aug. 14 rebound close of $26.14, after three consecutive losing sessions. DKNGx Extends DraftKings Exposure Beyond the Nasdaq Session Kraken lists tokenized DraftKings as DKNGx for eligible clients in supported markets. Kraken says each DKNGx token is backed 1:1 by DraftKings shares held by a third-party custodian, but owning the token does not constitute direct ownership of the underlying DKNG share or provide shareholder rights. Kraken’s broader xStocks service supports 24/5 trading, allowing tokenized exposure outside traditional U.S. equity hours. That token-market activity remains distinct from Nasdaq trading and should not be treated as a prediction of DraftKings’ next regular-session opening price. DraftKings’ official investor calendar currently shows its Aug. 7 Q2 earnings call as the latest listed event, so the company has not posted a confirmed Q3 earnings date there. Investor Takeaway DraftKings’ Thursday slide puts the focus on whether its nationwide Predictions expansion can convert NFL-season demand into attractive economics while Kalshi holds a large exchange-volume lead. The counterweight is DraftKings’ established sportsbook and parlay infrastructure, alongside management’s maintained 2026 profitability guidance. Upcoming NFL-week activity and regulatory developments should provide the next measurable tests. #CryptoNewss
"XRP Nakakakita ng Nananaw na Leverage: Bakit ang Isang $2 Bilyong Sell-Off ay Maaaring Magandang Balita"
#XRP <perpetual and spot CVDs have recently recorded massive declines amid selling pressure, but there may be a silver lining. Ibon ng XRP ang kakaibang antas ng katahimikan habang patuloy na binabawasan ng mga mangangalakal ang kanilang mga leveraged positions at nananatiling mataas ang pagbebenta sa spot market. Kasalukuyang ipinagpapalit ang asset sa $1.32, tumaas ng 3.14% ngayong araw, habang hawak ang mahahalagang support. Nakuha rin ng mas malawak na merkado ng crypto ang pag-usad matapos ang quarter-point Federal Reserve rate hike noong Miyerkules at ang pag-apruba ng SEC noong Huwebes sa isang blockchain-based na pilot para sa stock trading.
#Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson says the U.S. Senate’s failure to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) confirmed his prediction. For context, during the Senate’s September 15, 2026, procedural vote, the bill fell short of the 60 votes needed to advance. All Democrats and four Republicans voted against the measure. Following the vote, Hoskinson briefly reiterated his earlier warning, stating, “As predicted.” He had made the prediction days earlier during his Devs versus Builders livestream, where he argued that the cryptocurrency industry had weakened its political standing by becoming increasingly associated with celebrity-themed tokens, meme coins, and speculative activity. As a result, Hoskinson argued that the political environment was not conducive to advancing comprehensive crypto legislation. The Senate’s failure to advance the CLARITY Act ultimately aligned with Hoskinson’s prediction, which he said he had consistently made for more than a year. Hoskinson Explains Why the Bill Failed In a follow-up livestream, Hoskinson offered a broader explanation for what he believes contributed to the legislation’s failure. His central argument was that lawmakers tried to address too many complex cryptocurrency issues through a single, wide-ranging bill without first building the bipartisan consensus needed to move it through Congress. He contrasted that approach with his experience working with lawmakers in Wyoming, where he cited the Stem Cell Freedom Act as an example of legislation that passed both chambers without a single opposing vote. According to him, the difference was extensive consultation, negotiation, and coalition-building before the bill reached the final stage. Crypto Regulation Requires Broader Consultation He also criticized the limited consultation with jurisdictions that have already established cryptocurrency regulatory frameworks. He pointed to Europe, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, the British Virgin Islands and the Crown Dependencies as examples lawmakers could have studied. In particular, he suggested examining Europe’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation alongside frameworks developed by jurisdictions such as the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM). From his perspective, studying these approaches could have helped lawmakers identify regulatory models that had already been tested elsewhere. Break Crypto Regulation Into Separate Areas Moreover, Hoskinson argued that lawmakers should have addressed cryptocurrency regulation in separate components rather than attempting to establish a comprehensive framework in one step. Those areas could include stablecoins, digital securities, commodities, custody, taxation, and decentralized finance (DeFi). According to him, separating these issues could make it easier for lawmakers to resolve individual regulatory questions and build bipartisan agreement around each area. Need for Clearer Asset Definitions Hoskinson also argued that the legislation needed clearer definitions for digital securities and a more modern approach to existing securities laws. Rather than broadly classifying crypto assets as commodities, he believes lawmakers should establish clearer distinctions between different types of digital assets and determine which regulatory framework should govern each category. He also questioned whether the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has sufficient personnel, authority, and resources to oversee a cryptocurrency market that could eventually be worth trillions of dollars. Bipartisan Support Remained Important Beyond the technical regulatory questions, Hoskinson emphasized the importance of maintaining bipartisan support throughout the legislative process. He also pointed to political and ethical concerns surrounding crypto activities involving members of the administration, arguing that such issues have become part of the broader debate and made bipartisan consensus more difficult to achieve. Overall, Hoskinson’s explanation goes beyond the final Senate vote. In his view, the CLARITY Act failed because lawmakers attempted to tackle a broad range of complicated cryptocurrency issues without first establishing sufficient consensus, consultation, and clarity around the individual regulatory questions. #CryptoNewsCommunity
The US House Ways and Means Committee will review a broad digital asset tax package that excludes a key proposal sought by crypto miners and stakers.
The 114-page Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act, H.R. 10357, does not include a provision that would delay taxes on newly created tokens until they are sold. The committee published the bill Monday ahead of a markup scheduled for Wednesday.
That approach differs from the Tax Clarity for Mining and Staking Act, which Representative Mike Carey introduced in June. His proposal would allow taxpayers to decide when to recognize mining and staking rewards as income.
One option would tax tokens when they are received. The other would treat them more like property created by the taxpayer, with tax due upon sale.
Leaving that provision out means staking and mining rewards would generally remain taxable once recipients receive or control them. This could create a tax obligation before recipients convert the tokens into cash.
Industry groups have pushed Congress to change that treatment. The Blockchain Association, Crypto Council for Innovation and Digital Chamber previously backed Carey’s legislation as introduced.
They argued that taxing rewards before a sale can create liquidity difficulties for miners and stakers. The groups also opposed a proposed amendment that would have capped the tax deferral period at five years. #CryptonewswithJack
"Kí Ni Tó Ṣe Té É Nigbàtí XRP Two-Week RSI Ṣubú sí Ìsàlẹ̀ Ọ̀dún 13?"
XRP Ibeere Bibajii RSI Gbigbona Nínú Àṣà Ìgbàgbọ Tí Ìye Owo Ṣe Àdánwò Ìgbésẹ̀ Ilẹ̀ Àgbéléwò Ilẹ̀-ìgbàgbọ Ọ̀hún. XRP ń ṣe ìṣòwò ní nǹkan bí $1.30 lórí àwòrán XRP/USD ọ̀sẹ̀ méjì lẹ́yìn títípa kúrò níbi gíga 2025 rẹ̀ tó ju $3 lọ. Ìṣubú yẹn ti mú kí iye owo padà sí ààlà ìsàlẹ̀ ìṣọ̀kan gíga-ìṣòwò tí ó pẹ́ ọ̀pọ̀ ọdún, nígbà tí ìmúṣiṣẹ́ (momentum) ti ṣe àfihàn ìka tó ga jù lọ. XRP RSI ÒGÙN ÀKỌ́KỌ́ GBOGBO Ìgbà XRP’s Two-Week RSI Dẹ̀ sí Ìwọ̀n Ìbàjẹ́ Àgbéléwò Ọ̀dún 13 Àwòrán náà fi 33.52 hàn gẹ́gẹ́ bí RSI ìsàlẹ̀ tuntun, èyí tó kéré jù lọ tí a fi hàn nípasẹ̀ tó fẹrẹ̀ tó ọdún 13 nínú ìtàn XRP. Àkàwé yìí wà níbẹ̀ ní isalẹ àwọn ìsàlẹ̀ RSI tí a hàn nígbà ìjàkadì 2018, ìjà 2020 (March) àti ìjàkadì 2022.
Veteran na tagapayo sa pananalapi mula sa Amerika na si Ric Edelman ay gumawa ng kapansin-pansing paghahambing sa kasalukuyang yugto ng pag-aampon ng Bitcoin at sa Amazon noong mga unang araw ng internet boom. Sa isang panayam noong Setyembre 17 sa Bitcoin Magazine TV, sinabi ni Edelman na inaasahan niyang magiging mas malawak ang paghawak sa Bitcoin sa paglipas ng panahon at inulit niya ang kanyang hula na $500,000 BTC pagsapit ng 2030.
Ginuhit ni Edelman ang Pagkakatulad ng Bitcoin at Amazon
Tinukoy ni Edelman ang pagdududa hinggil sa Amazon noong 1999, noong ang mga investor ay pinagtatalunan pa kung ang umuusbong na internet company ay dapat nasa kanilang mga portfolio. Ang punto niya ay ang Bitcoin ay dumadaan sa maihahambing na panahong lumalawak ang pag-aampon, ngunit nananatili pa rin itong malayo sa pagiging pangkalahatan.
"Người sáng lập Cardano nêu bật giải pháp cốt lõi trước mối đe dọa AI đang gia tăng"
#Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson đã phản hồi trước thông tin bị đánh cắp 4.000 Bitcoin từ ví liên đoàn (federation wallet) của Liquid Network. Liquid xác nhận sự việc trong một bài đăng trên X vào hôm qua, cho biết tin tặc đã rút khoảng 4.000 Bitcoin trị giá 320 triệu USD từ ví liên đoàn. Theo mạng lưới, các đối tượng tấn công đã chuyển tiền thông qua dịch vụ SideSwap Peg-out Authorization Key (PAK). Tuy nhiên, Liquid và SideSwap đều cho biết bản thân PAK không bị xâm phạm. Thay vào đó, SideSwap nói rằng L-BTC tham gia vào giao dịch có nguồn gốc từ một lỗ hổng trong Elements, phần mềm dẫn xuất từ Bitcoin giúp vận hành sidechain Liquid.
Awọn ETF (spot) paṣipaarọ-pipin-inu ti #Bitcoin AMẸRIKA fa $986.9 million wọle nẹti ni ọsẹ to kọja, soke lati $924.5 million ni ọsẹ iṣaaju. Eyi samisi ọsẹ kẹta tẹpẹlẹ ti awọn ṣiṣan rere.
Gẹ́gẹ́ bí data SoSoValue ṣe sọ, BlackRock’s IBIT ṣe akọọlẹ fun $691.5 million ninu wọle ti ọsẹ ti o pari ni Oṣu Kẹsan ọjọ 4. Awọn ipin tesiwaju wọnyi wa pẹ̀lú iṣẹ́ ìṣòwò tí ó dínkù, níbi tí iwọn didun ọ̀sẹ̀ kọja awọn owó Bitcoin ti ṣubu si $14.5 bilionu láti fẹrẹ to $19 bilionu.
Awọn iye tuntun naa fa ìgbésẹ̀ si lati August, nígbà tí awọn ETF spot Bitcoin fa $3.52 bilionu wọle nẹti, ifihan oṣù to lagbara wọn lati oṣù Kẹsan 2025.
Dominick John, onínọmbà kan ní Zeus Research, sọ pé awọn wọle ti ń bá a lọ tọ́ka sí bí inọnwo ilé-iṣẹ́ ti ń tún kọ́ ìfarahan si Bitcoin laiyara, tí o sì ń yọrí si ibeere spot gidi ju ibeere ti o da lori ìṣòwò ìfarapa (leveraged speculation).
Olùgbéga Presto Research Min Jung tún sọ bẹ́ẹ̀, ó sọ pé àwọn sisan wọ̀nyí jẹ́ nitori ìbéèrè ilé-iṣẹ́ tí ó tún bẹ̀rẹ̀, níbi tí crypto dà bí ẹni pé ó ń ṣe ìtẹ̀síwájú (catch-up trade) lẹ́yìn tí ó ti ń ṣàdúró lẹ́yìn àwọn ohun-ini ewu mìíràn.