🔴 SHORT $ARB /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 0.14385 – 0.1443
TP1: 0.14232 (-1.2% | 0.64R) [1h swing]
TP2: 0.14169 (-1.7% | 0.87R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.13857 (-3.8% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.14682 (+1.9%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.42R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 14 Nov 00:25 UTC | Expires 14 Nov 00:54 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Trader Q&A
Why watch? The closed 4h EMA structure favors SHORT.
What are we waiting for? Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Entry: 0.14385 – 0.1443
TP1: 0.14232 (-1.2% | 0.64R) [1h swing]
TP2: 0.14169 (-1.7% | 0.87R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.13857 (-3.8% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.14682 (+1.9%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.42R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
When does it fail? SL is hit, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 14 Nov 00:25 UTC | Expires 14 Nov 00:54 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
