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๐Ÿšจ IS THE MARKET BETTING ON A COOLER CPI?
Bad news is piling up, but the market isnโ€™t breaking. ๐Ÿ‘€
Oil is rising, tensions around Iran are back in focus, semiconductor stocks have dropped 9.65% in seven days, and BlackRock has cut its view on U.S. stocks.
Yet the S&P 500 held near 7,787, Bitcoin stayed around $83,000, and S&P 500 futures bounced 0.45% from their recent low.
Why is the market holding up?
๐Ÿ“Š Investors may be expecting core inflation to remain under control, even as higher gasoline prices push headline CPI higher.
๐Ÿฆ Fed officials still see inflation above the 2% target, but expectations that inflation could cool next year are keeping attention on the incoming data.
โš ๏ธ If core CPI comes in hotter than expected, markets could face fresh pressure. But a cooler reading could support risk assets and improve sentiment.
The real test is todayโ€™s CPI report. Is the market correctly anticipating softer core inflation, or are investors getting too comfortable before the data arrives?
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