NY Monday: risk-on. Oil down, yields down, AI back on.
๐ Dow +0.7% to 52,049 ยท S&P +1.5% to 7,765 (0.4% off the record) ยท Nasdaq +2.3% to 27,122 โ record close
Chips led (SOX +4.3%). AMD hit $1T. Meta +11%.
โก Oil: Brent -3.4% to $100.34 (4th down day, off last weekโs ~$110 spike). WTI slump harder, toward the mid-90s / low-90s into Asia.
๐ 10Y eased to ~4.95โ4.96% (off 5.00%).
Driver: UN-week diplomacy hopes + Saudi flow repair. Weekend Houthi hits did not reprice crude higher.
โฟ BTC: squeeze. High ~$86,900, Asia ~$86,200โ86,400. Best since January. ~$710m liquidations, mostly shorts. ETF cost basis (~$82.2k) recaptured.
๐ Asia open:
๐ฅ Gold ~$4,350โ4,370 (soft vs equities)
๐ฅ Silver ~$65.90โ66.50
โฟ Bitcoin ~$86,200โ86,400
ฮ ETH ~$2,660โ2,750
XAU โ Support 4,320 / 4,280. Resistance 4,400 / 4,420. Yields off 5% helps, but risk-on steals the bid. 4,400 still the line.
XAG โ Support 65.00 / 64.00. Resistance 67.00 / 68.00. Follows gold; do not chase the FridayโMon bounce.
BTC โ Support 85,000 / 82,200 / 80,000. Resistance 87,000 / 90,000. First Asia hour after +6% is not a buy signal. Lose 85k and the squeeze fades.
โ ๏ธ Relief rally, not a new regime. Oil back above $105 or 10Y back over 5% kills the bid. Goolsbee already flagging demand-side inflation. Next tape-mover: crude + PCE this week.
Cash is still a position if you missed the squeeze.
NFA. Confirm live prices.
๐TRADE $XAU | $BTC | $XAG HERE๐
๐ Dow +0.7% to 52,049 ยท S&P +1.5% to 7,765 (0.4% off the record) ยท Nasdaq +2.3% to 27,122 โ record close
Chips led (SOX +4.3%). AMD hit $1T. Meta +11%.
โก Oil: Brent -3.4% to $100.34 (4th down day, off last weekโs ~$110 spike). WTI slump harder, toward the mid-90s / low-90s into Asia.
๐ 10Y eased to ~4.95โ4.96% (off 5.00%).
Driver: UN-week diplomacy hopes + Saudi flow repair. Weekend Houthi hits did not reprice crude higher.
โฟ BTC: squeeze. High ~$86,900, Asia ~$86,200โ86,400. Best since January. ~$710m liquidations, mostly shorts. ETF cost basis (~$82.2k) recaptured.
๐ Asia open:
๐ฅ Gold ~$4,350โ4,370 (soft vs equities)
๐ฅ Silver ~$65.90โ66.50
โฟ Bitcoin ~$86,200โ86,400
ฮ ETH ~$2,660โ2,750
XAU โ Support 4,320 / 4,280. Resistance 4,400 / 4,420. Yields off 5% helps, but risk-on steals the bid. 4,400 still the line.
XAG โ Support 65.00 / 64.00. Resistance 67.00 / 68.00. Follows gold; do not chase the FridayโMon bounce.
BTC โ Support 85,000 / 82,200 / 80,000. Resistance 87,000 / 90,000. First Asia hour after +6% is not a buy signal. Lose 85k and the squeeze fades.
โ ๏ธ Relief rally, not a new regime. Oil back above $105 or 10Y back over 5% kills the bid. Goolsbee already flagging demand-side inflation. Next tape-mover: crude + PCE this week.
Cash is still a position if you missed the squeeze.
NFA. Confirm live prices.
๐TRADE $XAU | $BTC | $XAG HERE๐
