Ukuba namhlanje iFederal Reserve iyakunyusa i-25bp, uluhlu lwenzala luya kufika kwi-3.75%–4.00%, kwaye indawo ephakathi yi-3.875%。
Kwelinye icala, uqikelelo oluphakathi lwe-Fed kwi-6月 SEP yenzala ye-federal funds ekupheleni kuka-2026 yi-3.8%。
Oko kuthetha ukuba, ukuba olu nyuso luyenzeka, inzala yomgaqo-nkqubo sele ikufuphi nendawo ekupheleni konyaka ababeyixela ngayo abo babenxaxhile kwiminyaka emithathu eyadlulayo.
Emva kokunyuswa, kusazanywa: ingaba iFederal Reserve iyayifumana na ukuba inzala ngoku ayisaphakami ngokwaneleyo—le yeyona nto ibalulekileyo ngokuhlwanje.
Ngoku, imarike sele ibeke ixabiso lokunyusa i-25bp ngokuhlwanje iphantse ibe yi-93%, kwaye le nxalenye sele igcotywe kwangaphambili kwaye ixabisiwe yimarike.
Into ekufuneka ijongwe ngoku kukwiingqikelelo ezintsha zenzala, i-dot plot, kunye nezitatimenti zika-Wash kwintetho yakhe malunga nendlela ezilandelayo zenzala.
Ukuba indlela elandelayo yenzala ayibonakali iqhubeka inyuka, oku kubonakala ngathi kukulungiswa komgaqo-nkqubo okwandiswe kuxinzelelo lwe-inflation lwamva nje。
Kodwa ukuba uqikelelo lwenzala olutsha luqhubeka lusiya phezulu, kwaye lushiya indawo enkulu yokunyusa inzala kwixesha elizayo, imarike eya kuphinda ihlengahlengise ayisayi kuba kumalunga nale 25bp ngokuhlwanje kuphela. Kusenokuba inzala yexesha elizayo iphakamile, ibe iya kuhlala ixesha elide kwakhona.
Kwelinye icala, uqikelelo oluphakathi lwe-Fed kwi-6月 SEP yenzala ye-federal funds ekupheleni kuka-2026 yi-3.8%。
Oko kuthetha ukuba, ukuba olu nyuso luyenzeka, inzala yomgaqo-nkqubo sele ikufuphi nendawo ekupheleni konyaka ababeyixela ngayo abo babenxaxhile kwiminyaka emithathu eyadlulayo.
Emva kokunyuswa, kusazanywa: ingaba iFederal Reserve iyayifumana na ukuba inzala ngoku ayisaphakami ngokwaneleyo—le yeyona nto ibalulekileyo ngokuhlwanje.
Ngoku, imarike sele ibeke ixabiso lokunyusa i-25bp ngokuhlwanje iphantse ibe yi-93%, kwaye le nxalenye sele igcotywe kwangaphambili kwaye ixabisiwe yimarike.
Into ekufuneka ijongwe ngoku kukwiingqikelelo ezintsha zenzala, i-dot plot, kunye nezitatimenti zika-Wash kwintetho yakhe malunga nendlela ezilandelayo zenzala.
Ukuba indlela elandelayo yenzala ayibonakali iqhubeka inyuka, oku kubonakala ngathi kukulungiswa komgaqo-nkqubo okwandiswe kuxinzelelo lwe-inflation lwamva nje。
Kodwa ukuba uqikelelo lwenzala olutsha luqhubeka lusiya phezulu, kwaye lushiya indawo enkulu yokunyusa inzala kwixesha elizayo, imarike eya kuphinda ihlengahlengise ayisayi kuba kumalunga nale 25bp ngokuhlwanje kuphela. Kusenokuba inzala yexesha elizayo iphakamile, ibe iya kuhlala ixesha elide kwakhona.
