Ukuqwalasela okuthambekele kokungenzi lutho, i-SOL angisayithathi indawo ephakathi. Emikhawulweni embalwa edlule ngikuphindaphinde ngathi uma u-98 ungakaze ume ubuyele emuva, ungasheshi ucabange ukujika okubuyiselayo; kusukela manje imakethe ayikakuphikanga lokhu kubona: intengo manje cishe 97.1, isabambekile ngaphansi kuka-98, ukwehla emahoreni angu-24 kumayelana no-4.5%. Akukona ukuthi akukho ukuphinduka, kodwa njalo uma iphinduka ayikabuyiseli isivulo esibalulekile emuva—nginjalo mina engingathandi ukuyithatha ngokuqhuba kuleli shadi.

Kuma-indiketha, ku-15-minute RSI ibuyile yafika ku-47, okushiwo ukuthi isikhashana asikona okwedlulele; i-1-hour RSI ingu-36.5 kuphela, i-4-hour RSI cishe 34.6, okubonisa ukuthi umjikelezo omkhulu usalokhu ubuthakathaka. Izimali zokuxhasana zisenegethivu, cishe -0.0055%, imizwa yabathengisi abancane (short) igcwele ngempela—lokhu kusho ukuthi uma kungazelelwe kubuyela phezulu ku-98, kungase kube khona isiqephu sokusunduza ukuze kuqedwe short (squeeze) sibe nokuphinduka. Kodwa inkinga ikhona nalapha: uma abathengisi abancane sebegcwele, intengo yona ingabe isakhokhi ukubuyela ku-98, lokho kubonisa ukuthi umdlandla wabathengi (long) nawo uyalinganisela. Phezulu, u-101.34 yisisindo/ukucindezela okuseduze namakhandlela angu-1h angu-20; ngezansi, u-95.66 kusekelo sesikhathi esifushane. I-SOL manje ibambekile phakathi, ukwenza long noma short akumnandi.

如果是我自己交易，我現在不會在 97 附近開倉。我的計劃很機械：第一，如果 SOL 放量站回 98，並且回踩 97.6 不破，我會考慮很小倉試多，目標先看 99.5 到 100.2，跌回 96.9 下方就撤。第二，如果 1 小時收線跌破 95.66，我會等反抽 96.2 到 96.8 之間看輕倉試空，止損放在 97.6 上方，目標先看 94.5，再看 93.8。第三，如果繼續在 96 到 98 之間磨，我就看戲，不用倉位陪它震。

我的情緒很直接：這種幣波動快，最容易讓人因為「看起來要彈了」就衝進去，結果買在區間中位。對我來說，SOL 现在不是便宜不便宜的問題，而是 98 沒收回之前，多頭還沒拿回說話權。以上僅為個人市場觀察，不構成投資建議。

$SOL