๐จ FOMC SEPTEMBER: IS THE FED ABOUT TO TURN HAWKISH AGAIN?
The market is no longer asking if the Fed could hike.
Itโs asking: what happens after the hike?
August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, keeping inflation pressure alive and pushing expectations strongly toward a 25bp hike this week.
But the real trade starts after the decision.
๐ด BTC: Higher rates can tighten liquidity and pressure risk assets, but a lot depends on how much of the hike is already priced in.
๐ด Tech stocks: Higher yields can hit high-growth valuations, especially if the Fed signals more hikes ahead.
๐ก Gold: A stronger dollar and higher real yields can create pressure, but persistent inflation and policy uncertainty could support demand for safe-haven assets.
The biggest question for me:
Is this a one-off 25bp move to regain inflation credibility โ or the beginning of a longer hiking cycle?
Iโm watching the statement, forward guidance and market reaction more than the headline decision itself.
My rule: donโt trade the hike. Trade the repricing.
What are you holding or trading into the FOMC โ BTC, stocks, or gold?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Gold #Stocks #FederalReserve
$AKE
$TFUEL
$BAT
The market is no longer asking if the Fed could hike.
Itโs asking: what happens after the hike?
August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, keeping inflation pressure alive and pushing expectations strongly toward a 25bp hike this week.
But the real trade starts after the decision.
๐ด BTC: Higher rates can tighten liquidity and pressure risk assets, but a lot depends on how much of the hike is already priced in.
๐ด Tech stocks: Higher yields can hit high-growth valuations, especially if the Fed signals more hikes ahead.
๐ก Gold: A stronger dollar and higher real yields can create pressure, but persistent inflation and policy uncertainty could support demand for safe-haven assets.
The biggest question for me:
Is this a one-off 25bp move to regain inflation credibility โ or the beginning of a longer hiking cycle?
Iโm watching the statement, forward guidance and market reaction more than the headline decision itself.
My rule: donโt trade the hike. Trade the repricing.
What are you holding or trading into the FOMC โ BTC, stocks, or gold?
#Bitcoin #BTC #Gold #Stocks #FederalReserve
$AKE
$TFUEL
$BAT
