Aptos is rallying into its own dilution event. That almost never happens without a reason.
$APT is up roughly 20% this week, trading near $0.63, right as an 11.31 million token unlock hits on September 11, worth about $7 million. Historically, APT unlocks have averaged a 10.4% price drop within 9 days. This time price is climbing straight into it.
The rally lines up with the Confidential APT mainnet launch, a privacy feature aimed at institutional use. The market may be pricing product news over supply math, or simply hasn't reacted yet.
Confirmation is still missing. The real test is the next 24 to 48 hours post-unlock. If price holds above $0.60 through the absorption window, the divergence is real demand outpacing new supply. If it rolls over, this was pre-unlock froth.
Watching closely, not calling it yet. Drop your read below.
#Aptos #APT #TokenUnlock #CryptoResearch
$APT is up roughly 20% this week, trading near $0.63, right as an 11.31 million token unlock hits on September 11, worth about $7 million. Historically, APT unlocks have averaged a 10.4% price drop within 9 days. This time price is climbing straight into it.
The rally lines up with the Confidential APT mainnet launch, a privacy feature aimed at institutional use. The market may be pricing product news over supply math, or simply hasn't reacted yet.
Confirmation is still missing. The real test is the next 24 to 48 hours post-unlock. If price holds above $0.60 through the absorption window, the divergence is real demand outpacing new supply. If it rolls over, this was pre-unlock froth.
Watching closely, not calling it yet. Drop your read below.
#Aptos #APT #TokenUnlock #CryptoResearch
