๐ US Economic Data & Fed Rate Cut Expectations
Key US economic indicators are set for release today, influencing market expectations for future Federal Reserve policy. At 8:30 PM (UTC+8), the November Challenger Job Cuts Report will be published.
Crucially, initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29th follow at 9:30 PM (UTC+8), widely forecasted at 220,000 applications. Later today, at 11:00 PM (UTC+8), the November Global Supply Chain Pressure Index and Septemberโs factory orders will also be released.
Despite these metrics, market attention remains overwhelmingly focused on the Fed's next move. ๐ฆ Betting markets, including Polymarket, indicate an exceptionally high 94% probability for a 25 basis point interest rate cut in December.
This strong anticipation of easing financial conditions is generally perceived as a supportive macroeconomic backdrop for risk assets. This dovish sentiment often positively influences the crypto market, providing subtle underlying support for Bitcoin BTC and its potential upward trajectory. $BTC
