“Ngokuthile kubonakala kungafani ngo-
$XAU lapha — intengo isondela ezingeni abahlali (bulls) okumele balibuyise ngempela.”$4,400 indawo, kodwa lokhu kubuyela emuva kufika endaweni yesinqumo ebaluleke kakhulu.
Igolide elithengwayo (spot gold) selike lalinganiselwa cishe ku-$4,400–$4,415 ngemuva kokuzuza ngaphezu kuka-1% ngoLwesithathu. Ukubuyela emuva kube kuqinisiwe yidola lase-US elithambile kanye nesidingo esisha sokubalekela ukuphepha, kuyilapho ukwenyuka kwentengo kawoyela ngaphezu kuka-$100 kwengeza enye indida yokunyuka kwamandla emali (inflation) nokungaqiniseki kwezombusazwe.
Ngokobuchwepheshe, umbuzo obalulekile ukuthi abathengi bangakwazi yini ngempela ukubuyisa indawo engu-$4,400–$4,430 kunokumane nje baphume babhajwe ekumelaneni. Ukuhlaziywa kwakamuva kubeke indawo engu-$4,400 njengephuzu elibalulekile lokuphenduka, kanti indawo yokusekela ejulile ingaba se-$4,300–$4,350. Ukunyakaza okuqhubekayo ngaphezu kuka-$4,430 cishe kungathuthukisa isakhiwo sesikhathi esifushane; ukulahlekelwa okungu-$4,350 kungabuyisela abathengisi ekulawuleni futhi kuveze indawo engu-$4,300.
Angisoze ngijonge phakathi nalo mkhawulo. Isu engilithandayo wukuthi kuqale kube nokucaciswa: ukuphuma okuhlanzekile nokuphinda kuhlolwe ngaphezulu kuka-$4,430 kungavula indlela eya endaweni engu-$4,500–$4,530. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukwenqatshwa eduze kuka-$4,400–$4,430 bese kulandelwa ukuphuka ngaphansi kuka-$4,350 kungayenza indawo engu-$4,300 ibe yinto ethakazelisa kakhulu ohlangothini oluphansi.
Umsunguli omkhulu (catalyst) uvela kumacro. I-US PPI izokhishwa namuhla, bese i-CPI ilandela ngoLwesihlanu, kanti namuhla izimakethe nazo ziqhubeka nokuphinda zihlaziye amathuba okuthi kube khona ukukhuphuka kwesilinganiso se-Fed ngoSepthemba. I-inflation eqinile ingase isekele idola futhi icindezele igolide elingakhiqizi inzalo, kanti i-inflation ethambile inganikeza igolide esinye isizathu sokuphusha phezulu.
Okwamanje, ngiphatha u-$4,430 njengendawo yokuqinisekisa kanti u-$4,350 njengomugqa wamanje wesikhathi esiseduze. Ngincamela ukulinda imakethe ikhombise indlela kunokuphoqa ukuhweba ngaphakathi kwebanga.
Igolide linganyakaza ngamandla ngezikhathi zedatha yezomnotho nezihloko zezombusazwe, ngakho ubukhulu besikhundla (position size) kanye nobungozi (risk) kufanele bulingane nesu lakho.
Uyalinda yini ukuthi kuphuke ngokuqinisekiswa ngaphezulu kuka-$4,430, noma ucabanga ukuthi igolide liyakunqaba futhi kule ndawo?
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