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🚨 CPI Nua I Ma Abaraga Fed - Hike Ka Aboike? 🚨

Ua lanakila ka NFP i ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, no laila i kēia manawa nā maka a pau iā CPI. ʻO kēia kahi e lilo ai i mea hoihoi.

ʻO wau iho, ke manaʻo nei au i ka Fed e paʻa (hold) ma mua o ka hoʻonui koke ʻana i ka uku (rate hike). ʻO kahi hōʻike hana (jobs report) ikaika e mālama ana i nā hopohopo no ka inflation, akā manaʻo wau makemake ka Fed i nā hōʻike hou aʻe mai CPI ma mua o ka neʻe hou ʻana. Inā komo mai ʻo CPI me ka ʻoluʻolu i manaʻo ʻole ʻia, hiki iaʻu ke ʻike i nā waiwai pilikia (risk assets) e loaʻa ana kekahi hoʻomaha.

A ʻo ia hoʻi koʻu manaʻo ʻelua: Ke manaʻo kūʻokoʻa nei au i ka BTC a me ka mākeke crypto ākea. Inā maʻalili ka inflation a pau nā makaʻu i ka rate-hike, hiki i Bitcoin ke pōmaikaʻi mai ka hoihoi hou ʻana i ka risk. Akā inā wela ʻo CPI, ʻaʻole wau e kahaha inā ʻike ʻia kekahi hāʻule ʻoi loa (sharp pullback) ma mua o ka neʻe aʻe.

Noʻu, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hopena a CPI ma mua o ka nānā wale ʻana inā lanakila ka helu ma luna a ma lalo paha o nā manaʻo.

Fed: Paʻa 📌
Mākeke: Manaʻolana iki (Cautiously Bullish)

ʻO kāu ʻōlelo hea? Hike a paʻa paha? Manaʻolana (Bullish) a kūʻē paha (Bearish)?

#CPIWatch #Fedhike #USPayroll #cpi

#USPayroll
April US Nonfarm Payrolls: +115K, surpassing all major bank forecasts.

- Unemployment rate: steady at 4.3%
- Average hourly earnings: +0.2% m/m, +3.8% y/y

Top forecast range: -15K (Citi) to +100K (UBS, HSBC), highlighting ongoing uncertainty in the US labor market and Fed outlook.