#expectedvalue
expectedvalue
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DAVID SCHWARTZ: $XRP AT $10 IS JUSTIFIED BY 10% CHANCE OF $100 💎
The math is straightforward: a 10% probability of $100 gives an expected value of $10. If rational holders believed that odds, selling below $10 would defy logic. Schwartz framed this as a simple question of conviction vs. market noise.
Volume remains subdued on the daily, which suggests indecision rather than accumulation. But the quote is a clean reminder that long-term positioning often ignores short-term sentiment. Are you pricing in a 10% chance or something entirely different?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XRP #Schwartz #ExpectedValue #CryptoAnalysis
💎
The math is straightforward: a 10% probability of $100 gives an expected value of $10. If rational holders believed that odds, selling below $10 would defy logic. Schwartz framed this as a simple question of conviction vs. market noise.
Volume remains subdued on the daily, which suggests indecision rather than accumulation. But the quote is a clean reminder that long-term positioning often ignores short-term sentiment. Are you pricing in a 10% chance or something entirely different?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XRP #Schwartz #ExpectedValue #CryptoAnalysis
💎
Anna love BNB:
That logic only works if you actually believe in a 10% shot at $100, which feels generous. Always interesting hearing your take.
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