elliottwave

ຖ້າທ່ານຍັງຊື້ every $BTC liquidity sweep ຄືກັບວ່າມັນແມ່ນການຢືນຢັນ breakout ແທ້ໆ, ຢຸດໄວ້ຕອນນີ້.

ການເຝົ້າເບິ່ງ Bitcoin ທີ່ໄປແຕະຈຸດສູງສຸດລາຍເດືອນກ່ອນແລ້ວປະຕິເສດ ຄືແນວນັ້ນ ແມ່ນວິທີທີ່ນັກທຳອິດມັກຈະເສຍເວລາຊະນະຫຼາຍເດືອນ ໃນ session ດຽວ. FOMO ຫຼັງ sweep ເຮັດໃຫ້ບັນຊີຖືກທຳລາຍຫຼາຍກວ່າການ crash ຈິງໆສ່ວນໃຫຍ່.

Wave 3 ພຽງແຕ່ຍືດໄປຮອດການຂະຫຍາຍ Fib 2.618 ແລ້ວ ຫຼາຍກວ່າທີ່ພວກເຮົາສ່ວນໃຫຍ່ຄາດໃນ chart. ພວກເຮົາ sweep ແຕະຈຸດສູງສຸດລາຍເດືອນກ່ອນແລ້ວ ແລ້ວປິດກັບມາຕ່ຳກວ່າມັນຜ່ານຄວາມແຕກຕ່າງ (clean deviation) ທີ່ຊັດເຈນ. ເປັນຮູບແບບດຽວກັນກັບ November 2021, ເມື່ອ $BTC tagged ຈຸດສູງ ແລ້ວໃນປີຖັດໄປກໍ່ສອນຜູ້ຄົນໃຫ້ຮູ້ດ້ວຍວິທີທີ່ຍາກ—ເລີ່ມຈາກ Wave 4.

ເນື່ອງຈາກການຂະຫຍາຍໄປຍາວກວ່າ, ລະດັບການຍ້ອນກັບ (retrace) ຈຶ່ງປ່ຽນໄປ. ຂ້ອຍກຳລັງເບິ່ງ 74.6K ເປັນລະດັບ retest ຕ່ຳສຸດ, ໂດຍ 72.9K ເປັນຄວາມສ່ຽງຂາລົງສູງສຸດໃນຕອນນີ້. $ETH tends to bleed ແຮງກວ່າເດີມໃນຈັ້ງຂາລົງຂອງ Bitcoin, ດັ່ງນັ້ນ ຈັດຂະໜາດການລົງທຶນໃຫ້ເໝາະສົມ.

ທ່ານຄິດວ່າ Wave 4 ນີ້ແທ້ໆຈະຢຸດລົງຕ່ຳສຸດຕອນໃດ?
#Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading

Na ua ʻike anei ʻoe i ka manawa pinepine e hoʻopau ʻia ai nā pahuhopu Wave 4 i kēia pōʻai?
Hoʻomau ka poʻe kālepa i ka waiho ʻana i nā kauoha ma nā pae hoʻihoʻi (retracement) e like me ka “textbook” wale nō e hoʻopau ʻia ai i ka wā e ʻoi aku ai ke kumu kūʻai. ʻO kēlā komo i hala a i ʻole ka haʻalele mua ʻana, lilo ia i ke kūʻai wikiwiki ʻana (FOMO) i ka manawa ʻino loa.
Ua hoʻolōʻihi ʻo Wave 3 i $BTC ma ʻō aku o ka hoʻonui maʻamau 1.618 o Wave 1 a hiki kokoke i 2.618. Ma muli o kēlā holo hou, ua neʻe aʻe ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa o Wave 4 i luna. ʻAʻole like hou nā wahi retrace 38.2% a me 50% me ka neʻe ʻana o ke kumu kūʻai i kēia manawa.
Ua ʻike ʻia kēia ʻano like i $ETH i ka mahina i hala a ua hahai koke ʻia e $SOL . ʻO ka poʻe e hoʻohana mau nei i nā palapala Wave 4 kumu, ke kālepa nei lākou i nā pae o ka lā ʻapōpō.
He aha kou manaʻo no kahi e loaʻa ai ke kākoʻo maoli o ka Wave 4 i hoʻoponopono ʻia?
#ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Bitcoin

If you are still entering pullback orders at old support levels before recalculating your fibs, stop now.

Most traders end up giving back their entire wave cycle profits simply because they stick to rigid targets after the market structure changes. Getting trapped in an early entry while the true correction is still unfolding is an expensive way to learn about wave extensions.

With Wave 3 extending further than the initial projections across major pairs like $BTC and $ETH , the anticipated Wave 4 retracement zones have officially shifted upward. Some analysts argue this invalidates the broader count and signals an immediate blow-off top. However, the cleaner interpretation is that we are just recalibrating the standard 0.236 to 0.382 pullbacks against a much higher impulse leg.

Chasing previous pivot zones will leave you sidelined or prematurely stopped out while momentum builds in assets like $SOL . Adjusting the retracement band higher keeps the risk-reward balanced without anticipating a deeper breakdown that the current trend simply is not showing.

Where are you recalculating your invalidation levels on this cycle?

#CryptoTrading #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis

everyone thinks wave 4 pullback levels are set in stone from the start, but actually when wave 3 overextends, your entire invalidation zone shifts higher.

most traders keep their limit bids sitting at the old fib levels and end up completely front-run, or worse, they panic short thinking the trend broke. ngl getting chopped up because of stale pivot levels is the easiest way to bleed your stack.

we saw this exact setup play out on $BTC during the recent impulse. wave 3 pushed way past the standard 1.618 extension target, which automatically dragged the valid wave 4 support band several hundred dollars above where most people were waiting.

if you are still expecting a deep discount down to previous structural support on $ETH and the majors, you are likely trading yesterday's chart. extended third waves typically resolve into shallow, frustrating wave 4 consolidations that trap impatient capital on the sidelines.

where do you think this wave 4 bottom actually lands?

#CryptoTrading #ElliottWave #Bitcoin

Ṣe àfiyèsí èyí: o ṣeto àwọn òfin ìdíwọn (limit bids) rẹ ní taara lórí ìtẹ̀sí 0.382 tó wà nínú ìwé-ẹ̀kọ, o sì ń dúró ní ìpamọ́ fún ìpadàbọ̀ (pullback) tí kò rántí láé dé àṣẹ rẹ kí o tó lọ sẹ́yìn lẹ́ẹ̀kansi.

Ọ̀pọ̀lọpọ̀ alákọ̀ọ́kọ̀ẹ́ (traders) máa ń di ara wọn mú nítorí wọ́n máa ń fi ìfojúsùn (targets) ìpadàbọ̀ tó dákẹ́/ti gígùn (static) ṣe, nígbà tí ìṣe ìye (price action) ṣì ń gbooro síi. Nígbà tí o bá kuna láti tún ṣe ìtẹ̀síwájú àwọn ìpele pàtàkì (key levels) rẹ nígbà tí ìṣipopada (momentum) ń na síwájú, o máa ń tìpa lépa (chasing) àwọn gígùn (tops) tàbí o máa ń rí bí ọjà ṣe ń lọ kúrò lọ́dọ̀ rẹ.

Nígbà tí Wave 3 bá gbooro ju ìfihàn (projection) 1.618 tó ṣe àṣekára lọ, gbogbo ètò náà yí padà. Ẹsẹ̀ gbooro yẹn lórí $BTC gbóoro ìṣipopada sí i ju àwọn awoṣe impulse tí ó wọ́pọ̀ (standard) ti sọ, ó sì fa kí àwọn ìpínlẹ̀ ìpadàbọ̀ Wave 4 tó ṣe yẹ ga sí i. Ohun tó rí bí ìtìlẹ́yìn (support) ní ìpele 38.2% tẹ́lẹ̀ kò tún wulo mọ́ nígbà tí ìgbésẹ̀ impulsive yẹn bá gbooro sí àgbègbè extension 2.618.

Dípò kí o dúró de àwọn ìdinwo (discounts) jinlẹ̀ tí ó lè ma dé rárá, ìṣàkóso ewu (managing risk) nílò kí o tún ṣe ìṣirò àwọn ẹgbẹ́ ìpadàbọ̀ tó rọrùn (shallow pullback bands) 23.6% àti 38.2% lòdì sí ìpò àpèjúwe (updated peak) tó ti yí padà. A ń rí àwọn ìṣètò ìtòlẹ́sẹẹsẹ (structural adjustments) irú bẹ́ẹ̀ ń tàn káàkiri $ETH àti àwọn tí ń sare nínú large-cap bí $SOL , níbi tí ìṣọ̀kan/ìdíwọ̀n (shallow consolidations) ń rọ́pò ìtúnúnwọn jinlẹ̀ tí àwọn tí ń ra ní pẹ́ (late buyers) ń dúró de.

Ṣe o ń ṣatunṣe àwọn ìpele invalidation Fibonacci rẹ ní akoko gidi (real time) tàbí o ń dúró de kí àwọn òfin ìbámu àkọ́kọ́ (original bids) lè kún (fill)?

#CryptoTrading #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis

I “Aho” Wave 3 kaʻi tipaʻa i ka Wave 4 ʻaʻole ia e hāʻawi iā ʻoe i kahi Wave 4 palekana. Akā, hoʻohaʻahaʻa maoli ia i ka “danger zone” a waiho aku i nā kānaka hou aʻe i paʻa i nā ʻeke a lākou i manaʻo ʻole ai.

Ua nānā ʻoe i nā pae Fibonacci like no nā lā, e kali ana e kūʻai i ka “dip”. A laila hoʻomau ka Wave 3 i ka holo ʻana, paʻi ʻoi aku ka paʻa ʻana (correction) ma mua o ka mea i hōʻike ʻia ma kāu pakuhi, a i ʻole e kāpae ʻia ʻoe i waho koke (stopped out) a i ʻole e noho ana ma lalo o ka wai (underwater) ʻoiai nō ke kūpaʻa maoli (support) aia i lalo nō.

Ke hoʻonui ka Wave 3 ma mua o ka hoʻolōʻihi maʻamau 1.618 o Wave 1, ʻaʻole aneane loa ka Wave 4 e mahalo i ka pae 38.2% kumu. Hoʻomaka maʻamau ke kumukūʻai e ʻimi i ka 50% a i ʻole 61.8% o ke kolu o ka nalu holoʻokoʻa (entire third wave), a i ʻole e paʻi ia i ka nalu ʻehā (fourth wave) ma mua o ka pae liʻiliʻi (lesser degree). Ua ʻike au iā $BTC e hana pēlā i ka wā i hoʻoikaika ai ka “extra push” ma Wave 3 i ka support i manaʻo ʻia no Wave 4 mai kahi ʻāpana 92k i lalo i ka 84-86k. Ua ʻike like ʻia kēlā hoʻololi ma $ETH , kahi i koi ai ka holo hohonu e hoʻihoʻi nui aʻe ma mua o ka hapa nui o nā mea kālepa i kaha ai. $SOL hahai pū lākou i ke ʻano like a hoʻolele i waho (flushed) i ka poʻe i hoʻohana mau i nā wahi kahiko.

Inā ʻaʻole ʻoe e huki hou i kēlā mau pae ma hope o ka hoʻolōʻihi, ke kūʻai nei ʻoe i loko o kahi “liquidity grab” ʻaʻole i kahi lalo maoli o Wave 4. ʻO ia ke ʻano e ʻoki ʻia ai nā waihona (accounts) i ka wā o kēia mau hoʻoponopono (corrections).

Ma hea ʻoe e manaʻo ai e noho ai ka support hou o Wave 4 ma hope o kēia hoʻolōʻihi hou loa?
#ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis

Nalu ito ang nangyari noong $BTC na-iunat ang Wave 3 hanggang sa 2.618 Fib extension.

Maraming mangangalakal ang nahila sa pagbili ng monthly high sweep na iyon, pero nakita nilang tumanggi ito at bumalik na sa ibaba. Ang FOMO sa tuktok—iyan ang paraan para ma-trap ka, naghihintay ng retracement na na-price in na ng iba.

Sinweep ng Bitcoin ang nakaraang monthly high, pagkatapos ay nabigo itong tumagos sa deviation. Dahil mas umabot ang impulse kaysa sa karaniwang 1.618, ang Wave 4 support ay nag-shift na. Tinitingnan ko ngayon ang 74.6K bilang minimum retest, at 72.9K naman bilang pinakamalalim na downside para sa pullback na ito.

Nakita na natin ito dati. Kapag $BTC lumalabis ang Wave 3, ang Wave 4 kadalasang mas dumedep kaysa inaasahan bago dumating ang Wave 5. Ganoon din ang nangyari noong 2021 at sa mga pagsulong noong 2024. $ETH may katulad na extensions sa sarili nitong mga wave, pero ang Bitcoin pa rin ang nagtatakda ng tono para sa buong merkado.

Buong-buo pa rin ang orihinal na plano. Hintayin ang mga antas na iyon imbes na habulin. Kung 74.6K hanggang 72.9K ang mananatiling support, puwede itong maging launchpad para sa susunod na galaw.

Saan sa tingin mo talaga nagbe-base ang retracement na ito?
#Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoAnalysis

Why is nobody talking about $BTC rejecting the monthly high after a liquidity sweep while the crowd still expects 100k immediately?
Late longs who chased that breakout are getting wrecked already. They're stuck in positions they entered on FOMO without a plan for the inevitable pullback.
This $BTC price action is a clear case study of an extended Wave 3 reaching the 2.618 Fib extension. It took out the previous monthly high, then rejected hard with a close back below, showing a textbook deviation. The structure doesn't lie even if the hype does.
Because Wave 3 ran further, the Wave 4 zone has moved. Minimum retest sits at 74.6K now, with 72.9K as my max downside target. $ETH and alts like $SOL will likely stay rangebound until $BTC finishes this correction.
The idea that we skip the retrace and go straight up is the same thinking that loses money every cycle.
Where do you think this $BTC setup goes from here?
#BTC #ElliottWave #AltcoinSeason

🦈 $MSTR WAVE 4 REACCUMULATION AT KEY DEMAND ZONE BEFORE WAVE 5 EXPANSION 📈

Entry: 113.22 - 126.53 ⚡
Target: 140.90 - 163.67 🎯
Stop Loss: 113.22 ⚠️

📌 The ongoing Wave 4 pullback in $MSTR is executing a strategic sell-side liquidity flush into the 113.22 - 126.53 institutional demand array. 📊 Order flow indicates sell-side momentum is rapidly diminishing as smart money absorbs liquidity right above structural support.

💡 Holding this discount zone keeps the macro Wave 5 expansion vector intact, with a high-timeframe pivot above 140.90 opening a clean path toward 163.67. 💬 Are you scaling into this Wave 4 demand zone or waiting for a structural reclaim above 140.90? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #MSTR #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #Crypto

🎯 🦈

🌊 $SOL 4th រលក Retracement: តំបន់ Re-Accumulation មុនការរុញ Wave 5? 🚀

​បន្ទាប់ពីយើងបានឈានដល់គោលដៅ $110 ដ៏ធំ ក៏ Solana បានដកថយទៅ $104 ដោយបង្ហាញនូវការកែតម្រូវទីផ្សារតាមស្តង់ដារ (textbook) ។

​បើអ្នកយល់ពីរបៀបជួញដូរ Elliott Wave និង RSI resets នេះគឺជាប្រភេទនៃការកកើតរឹងមាំ (healthy consolidation) ដែលយើងចូលចិត្តឃើញពិតៗ។

​📊 ការវិភាគបច្ចេកទេស និងការបកស្រាយរលក៖

​• រចនាសម្ព័ន្ធ Elliott Wave: យើងទើបបញ្ចប់ការពង្រីករលកទី 3 ដ៏ខ្លាំងរហូតដល់ $110។ ពេលនេះ Wave 4 កំពុងកើតឡើងតាមការរំពឹង—ធ្វើឲ្យសម្ពាធ leverage ត្រជាក់មុនជំហានចុងក្រោយនៃ Wave 5 ឡើងវិញ។

• RSI Reset (4H / 12H): RSI នៅលើក្រាហ្វ 4-Hour និង 12-Hour បានត្រជាក់ពីស្ថានភាព overbought ត្រឡប់មកប្រហែល ~55—ផ្តល់កន្លែងឲ្យសត្វគោ (bulls) ជំរុញតម្លៃឲ្យខ្ពស់ជាងមុន ដោយមិនធ្វើឲ្យ momentum លើសលប់ពេក។

• តំបន់ Accumulation / Support សំខាន់ៗ៖

​$106.00 (Support ក្នុងតំបន់ភ្លាមៗ)

​$104.00 (ការត្រួតពិនិត្យសាច់ប្រាក់បច្ចុប្បន្នឡើងវិញ)

​$102.00 (តម្រូវការធំ និងការលុបចោល Wave 4)

​⚡ យុទ្ធសាស្ត្ររបស់ខ្ញុំ៖

​ខ្ញុំកំពុងមើលការធ្វើឲ្យតម្លៃស្ថិរភាពនៅចន្លោះ $102 – $106។ ការចូលជាបណ្តុំ (staggering) នៅក្នុងតំបន់នេះ ផ្តល់ការរៀបចំដែលមានហានិភ័យទាប ដើម្បីតម្រង់ទីតាំងសម្រាប់ការពង្រីក Wave 5 នៅខាងមុខត្រឡប់ទៅ $110+ និងបន្ថែមទៀត។

​👇 តើអ្នកកំពុង Accumulating $SOL នៅក្នុងតំបន់ $102–$106 នេះ ឬកំពុងរង់ចាំការចូលទាបជាងនេះ? ចែករំលែកផែនការជួញដូររបស់អ្នកខាងក្រោម!

​ #SOL #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare

$SOL

🚨 $BTC WAVE 3 EXHAUSTION IMPLIES A RETRACEMENT TO 72.9K BEFORE CONTINUATION! 🦈

Smart money appears to be setting up an institutional trap ahead of the monthly close. Rather than sweeping the structural high at 82.8k, order flow indicates early trend exhaustion as retail buyers get baited into chasing late breakout momentum. 🌊

With USDT.D bouncing cleanly off a key monthly Fair Value Gap, structural confluence heavily favors a Wave 4 pullback. 📊 Expect intermediate consolidation within the 75k–79k range before price rotates down toward the 0.382 Fib target at 72.9k to absorb liquidity. 📌

In strongly impulsive regimes, flat pullbacks typically limit downside to the 0.382–0.5 Fib region. 💬 Are you managing exposure through this upper range or waiting for bids at the 72.9k retest? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #BTC #MarketStructure #Bitcoin #ElliottWave

🎯 🦈

🚨 $BTC UPDATE 🚨
Bitcoin has successfully broken above the descending t and, more importantly, the retest has held as support. This is a positive sign for short-term momentum. 📈
However, the current move still appears to be developing as a 3-wave structure. We need to see Wave 4 and Wave 5 complete before getting stronger confirmation that Wave (2) has officially bottomed.
The key now is patience: ✅ breakout confirmed
✅ Support retest holding
⏳ Waiting for full wave confirmation
Market structure is improving, but confirmation matters more than excitement. Manage risk and always do your own research.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #ElliottWave

$SOL Elliott Wave Update — Possibility 2
I’m currently maintaining Possibility 2 for SOL.
The current structure suggests that Green Wave 2 is still developing after Green Wave 1 completed around the $78.5 area.
📌 Wave 2 Area
• 0.5 → $74.32
• 0.618 → $73.48
• 0.764 → $72.44
I’m watching this zone for a potential Wave 2 bottom.
If Wave 2 completes here, the next move I’m looking for is Green Wave 3, with an initial target area around $84.28–$86.00.
The key confirmation level is the $77.88–$79.00 resistance zone.
A clean break above this area would increase the probability that Wave 3 has begun.
⚠️ If SOL breaks below the major support around $70.7, this bullish count would need to be reconsidered.

For now, I’m staying with Possibility 2 and waiting for confirmation.
#sol #solana #Elliottwave #cryptotrading

$SOL UPDATE 15/08/2026 10:07
Wave 4 did not form the Contracting Triangle I initially expected. Instead, the correction developed into a more complex W-X-Y structure (Double Zigzag).

I believe Wave 4 is now potentially complete, with Wave 5 next.
🎯 Wave 5 Targets: 77.92 → 78.14 → 78.66 → 79.21
⚠️ Invalidation Zone: 74.64–74.79

A sustained break below this zone would invalidate the current Scenario 2 structure.
I’m currently holding and will take profit in several stages as Wave 5 develops.
#sol #Solana #Elliottwave

🔴 $XRP MOMENTUM IS FADING — ELLIOTT WAVE MAPS THE PATH TO $0.87! 📉

Entry: Hold off — no long setup yet ⚡
Target: 0.85 - 0.87 🎯
Stop Loss: 1.04 resistance zone ⚠️

📉 The Senate's Clarity Act failure has XRP bleeding harder than the broader market, and the 4H chart is telling a brutal story. CasiTrades' Elliott Wave count shows we're still inside wave (3) of a larger decline, with price having already sliced through the green support shelf at $1.07–$1.09. 📊 RSI at 36.62 confirms bearish momentum without the exhaustion buyers need to step in early.

🔻 The roadmap is surgical: a push toward $0.95–$0.99 to complete wave 3, a feeble corrective bounce to $1.00–$1.04, then the final leg down to the $0.85–$0.86 confluence where two Fibonacci extensions align. 🔍 Spot ETF inflows decelerated from $14.9M to $1.01M weekly — institutions are standing aside, not catching this knife. 💬 Are you buying the dip at $0.95 or waiting for the wave structure to fully complete? 👇

⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️

🏷️ #XRP #ElliottWave #BearishSetup #CryptoAnalysis

🔻 🐻

alright so quick thought on the charts. ngl, we still don't have that solid confirmation wave 2 has actually started, you know.

it's one of those things where we really need to see some more price action unfold. like, a proper move, not just chop, before anyone can truly validate that setup.

this affects everything, right? from $BTC 's next leg to what $ETH and even $SOL might do. patience is key here, wagmi.

#crypto #marketanalysis #elliottwave #tradingsetup #altcoins

BREAKOUT ALERT: $DOGE WEEKLY FALLING WEDGE TESTS HTF SUPPORT — 4/5 BULLISH CONFLUENCE

$DOGE has completed a full Elliott Wave A-B-C Zigzag correction directly into the lower boundary of a weekly Contracting Falling Wedge, while holding a key Higher Timeframe support zone.

This is where compression meets exhaustion.

▫️ Weekly structure remains intact
▫️ Sell-side momentum fading after corrective completion
▫️ Wedge support continues to hold
▫️ Multi-timeframe confluence building

Technical setup:

Pattern: Contracting Falling Wedge + completed Zigzag

Confluence Rating: 4/5

Weekly bullish confidence: 54%

Key levels:

Support → lower wedge boundary + HTF demand zone

Resistance → upper wedge boundary + prior (B) wave high

Invalidation → sustained breakdown below wedge support

Historically, completed Zigzag corrections at HTF support often precede impulsive expansions. $DOGE is now entering that decision zone.

Correction complete. Compression active. Breakout conditions forming.

Signal: Bullish. 🟢

#DOGE #Dogecoin #TechnicalAnalysiss #cryptosignal #Elliottwave

I've been watching the charts closely, and this potential Wave 2 pullback has a very specific resistance zone that could decide the next leg.

The key area sits right between $77,486 and $80,501. If price climbs back into that range during a retrace, it lines up perfectly with typical Wave 2 behavior in $BTC . A lot of people assume we just keep ripping higher without any healthy correction, but that ignores how these structures actually play out.

This zone feels like the spot where sellers might show up again, especially with $ETH and $SOL mirroring similar setups across the market.

Staying patient here makes more sense than chasing every bounce.

#Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BTC

$BTC - LTF Elliott Wave count 📈

ABC Flat correction - B wave completed ✅

• Wave B touched the 100% Fib level (gray box target hit)
• Would have liked to see a deeper move to 161.8% Fib (blue box) but adapting to what the chart shows
• BTC showing strength since yesterday — not ready to drop further for now
• Potential impulsive move forming (start of wave C?)
• Watching the retracement (possible wave 2?) very closely 🧐

Is $BTC starting the next impulsive leg after this flat correction? What’s your LTF count? 👀

Nothing is certain. This is not investment advice.
The market always does what it wants, be careful.

#BTC #Elliottwave #TradingSignals

تحليل $BTC
: قراءة فنية تشير إلى مزيد من التصحيح

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🧩 قراءة موجات إليوت

يبدو أن موجة التصحيح الهابطة لم تكتمل بعد، مما يشير إلى احتمالية استمرار الضغوط البيعية في الإطار الزمني الأوسع.

الموجة B الصاعدة من القاع الأخير تحمل طابعاً تصحيحياً وليس انعكاسياً، وهو ما يعزز فرضية استمرار الهيكل الهابط.

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📊 مؤشرات الزخم

ارتفاع طفيف إضافي في الأسعار قد يدفع مؤشر القوة النسبية (RSI) إلى مناطق التشبع الشرائي، مما يزيد من احتمالية حدوث ارتداد هابط جديد.

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📅 التوافق مع الدورة الربعية

يتوافق الانخفاض المتوقع في Q4 مع التوقيت الدوري التاريخي لـ #Bitcoin، حيث تميل الأسواق إلى تسجيل تصحيحات في الفترة نفسها من الدورات السابقة.

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📉 قراءة مؤشر PSI

تتحرك الحركة الهابطة الحالية في توافق واضح مع قراءة المخاطر المرتفعة لمؤشر PSI، مما يعزز النظرة الحذرة على المدى المتوسط.

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🎯 الخلاصة

العامل الدلالة
هيكل إليوت تصحيح غير مكتمل
الموجة B طابع تصحيحي
RSI قريب من تشبع شرائي
الدورة الربعية Q4 مرشح للهبوط
PSI يشير لمخاطر مرتفعة

التحيز العام: حذر، مع ترجيح استمرار التصحيح الهابط قبل أي انعكاس صعودي حقيقي.

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#BitcoinCycle #CryptoAnalysis #Elliottwave #BitcoinCycle