usjobsdata

The U.S. labor market posted a stronger-than-expected gain of 119,000 jobs in September, even as the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.4%, according to long-delayed government data released Thursday.The report — originally scheduled for early October — was pushed back six weeks due to the federal government shutdown, leaving markets without timely labor figures throughout a volatile period.What to KnowThe U.S. added 119,000 jobs, beating economist expectations of 50,000.The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, above the 4.3% forecast.The shutdown-delayed jobs report arrives as markets weigh fading Fed rate-cut odds.Bitcoin held modest gains around $91,900 following strong Nvidia earnings.Next up-to-date labor data will not be released until mid-December.Delayed Report Shows Labor Market Firmer Than ExpectedThe Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed nonfarm payrolls rising by 119,000 in September. Economists had projected 50,000, following a revised 4,000-job decline in August (originally reported as a 22,000 gain).However, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%, suggesting a softening in labor-market conditions despite stronger hiring.The late release complicates the near-term economic outlook, as policymakers, analysts and traders lack fresh data heading into the Federal Reserve’s final 2025 meeting.Market Reaction: Bitcoin Holds Gains, Nasdaq Futures JumpBitcoin continued to hold its modest overnight lift, trading near $91,900 after Nvidia’s strong earnings and upbeat outlook calmed jittery markets late Wednesday.U.S. equity futures extended those gains:Nasdaq futures +1.9%S&P 500 and Dow futures higher10-year Treasury yield steady at 4.11%U.S. dollar index slightly strongerThe jobs report did not materially shift sentiment, as markets had already priced out a December rate cut.Fed Rate Cut Expectations Unlikely to ChangeTraders had largely eliminated the possibility of a December interest rate cut prior to the data release, citing:the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone in recent speechesuncertainty caused by missing labor-market dataconcerns about inflation persistenceThursday’s numbers — strong on payrolls but weaker on unemployment — are unlikely to alter those expectations.With no updated employment report arriving until mid-December, the Fed will go into its final 2025 meeting with only partial visibility into labor conditions.OutlookThe September report offers a backward-looking snapshot of a labor market that remains resilient but is showing signs of cooling at the margins. Markets now await the next batch of timely data, though it may arrive after key policy decisions are already made.For now:hiring is strongerunemployment is risingand the Fed’s December calculus remains unchangedCrypto and equities continue to take signals primarily from earnings strength, tech momentum and shifting rate expectations rather than delayed economic data.

Everyone needs to pay close attention.
There is now a reported probability as high as 74% that the Supreme Court of the United States could issue a ruling that **overturns and declares illegal the tariffs imposed under President Donald Trump.
This is not a casual forecast.
A number this high suggests the outcome is dangerously close to reality.
⚖️ Why This Decision Would Be Explosive
If the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs:
A cornerstone of U.S. trade policy could collapse overnight
Executive power over trade may be sharply limited
Future presidents could face major legal barriers when using tariffs as leverage
This would not be a legal footnote — it would be a historic reversal.
🌍 Global Impact: Not Just an American Story
The shockwaves would travel far beyond U.S. borders:Global markets could see immediate volatilityCurrencies may reprice as trade expectations shift Capital flows could rotate rapidly between regions Trade partners may be forced to renegotiate long-standing strategies
Any shift in U.S. tariff policy recalculates the global trade equation.
📉📈 What Markets Are Really Pricing Right Now
Markets hate uncertainty — but they move fastest before clarity arrives.
Right now, investors are positioning for:
A potential rollback of protectionism
A reset in global trade relations
A new balance between political power and judicial authority This is why this ruling matters now, not later.
🔥 The Bigger Picture
This isn’t just about tariffs.
It’s about:Who controls economic power in America
How far executive authority can go
Whether global trade enters a new phase of openness or fragmentation
One ruling could redraw the political and economic map.
⚠️ Final Take
If this decision comes as expected, it won’t be incremental.It will be systemic.A single court ruling could:Reshape U.S. policyShock global markets
Open the door to a new era in global economics and politics⏳ The world is watching. The markets are waiting. The moment is approaching.#USJobsData