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翻訳
*Why Some Analysts Believe XRP Could Reach $33 — And What It Really Means*
Here’s a discussion on the claim that $XRP could target $33, and what to keep in mind if you believe that forecast:
Over recent months, some analysts — including a widely cited one named Egrag — have argued that XRP could eventually reach $33, assuming its price behavior mirrors past bullish cycles. Their argument leans heavily on technical analysis, especially drawing parallels between current support levels (notably the 21-day Exponential Moving Average) and historical price swings.
Binance
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TradingView
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If XRP sustains support, breaks key resistance, and follows the same multi-cycle momentum, the $33 target comes into view.
TradingView
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$BTC
+2
However, that kind of outcome would require a best-case scenario with multiple favorable conditions lining up. Many more conservative forecasts for late 2025 place XRP in a much lower range — typically between $2.70 and $5.00 — based on more moderate expectations for adoption, regulatory clarity, and market conditions.
Blockchain News
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Blockchain News
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Even sources projecting growth beyond that seldom go as high as $33. So while the $33 idea isn’t impossible, it should be viewed as speculative and highly dependent on broader market and macroeconomic factors, not just historical patterns.
If you consider the $33 target as a long-term “stretch goal,” it can serve as a useful mental benchmark — but most prudent investors might treat it as a possible upside on top of a more realistic base case. A healthier approach may be to watch for confirmations: strong adoption of XRP in real-world applications, regulatory developments (e.g., ETFs or institutional involvement), and clear upward breaks on technical charts.
$XRP
$2.18
+$0.17
(+8.46%)
Here’s a discussion on the claim that $XRP could target $33, and what to keep in mind if you believe that forecast:
Over recent months, some analysts — including a widely cited one named Egrag — have argued that XRP could eventually reach $33, assuming its price behavior mirrors past bullish cycles. Their argument leans heavily on technical analysis, especially drawing parallels between current support levels (notably the 21-day Exponential Moving Average) and historical price swings.
Binance
+2
TradingView
+2
If XRP sustains support, breaks key resistance, and follows the same multi-cycle momentum, the $33 target comes into view.
TradingView
+2
$BTC
+2
However, that kind of outcome would require a best-case scenario with multiple favorable conditions lining up. Many more conservative forecasts for late 2025 place XRP in a much lower range — typically between $2.70 and $5.00 — based on more moderate expectations for adoption, regulatory clarity, and market conditions.
Blockchain News
+2
Blockchain News
+2
Even sources projecting growth beyond that seldom go as high as $33. So while the $33 idea isn’t impossible, it should be viewed as speculative and highly dependent on broader market and macroeconomic factors, not just historical patterns.
If you consider the $33 target as a long-term “stretch goal,” it can serve as a useful mental benchmark — but most prudent investors might treat it as a possible upside on top of a more realistic base case. A healthier approach may be to watch for confirmations: strong adoption of XRP in real-world applications, regulatory developments (e.g., ETFs or institutional involvement), and clear upward breaks on technical charts.
$XRP
$2.18
+$0.17
(+8.46%)
翻訳
THE BITCOIN TRAP
———————————-
One company now controls 3.1% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist — Strategy Inc. (MicroStrategy).
Yesterday it reported $1.44 billion in cash reserves.
And its stock immediately plunged to a 52-week low.
Read that again:
The best financial update in years. The worst price reaction in years.
Not irrational — just the market solving a math problem that no longer computes.
The Numbers
650,000 BTC on the balance sheet
$55.9B in Bitcoin holdings
$49.3B total market cap
Strategy Inc. now trades at a discount to its own Bitcoin.
Each share gives you less than $1 of the asset it represents.
This has never happened before.
The Mechanism
For four years, the company executed a perfect flywheel:
Issue stock at a premium
Use proceeds to buy Bitcoin
Rising Bitcoin price increases premium
Repeat
That premium is gone.
The flywheel is now spinning in reverse.
The Trigger Date
January 15, 2026.
MSCI will decide whether Bitcoin-heavy companies belong in major indices.
JPMorgan estimates $2.8B in forced selling if Strategy is removed.
Index funds don’t negotiate. They follow rules.
44 days left.
The CEO’s Signal
Management has now admitted publicly that selling Bitcoin is “on the table” if the discount persists.
After four years of accumulation and 650,000 BTC, liquidation is no longer a theoretical risk — it's a stated option.
The Cash Equation
$1.44B cash = 21 months of dividend coverage
Bitcoin = no yield
Software division = negative cash flow
Preferred shares = $650M per year
Month 22 becomes the question the market is pricing now.
The Stakes
This isn’t about one stock.
It’s about whether any corporation can hold hard money inside a soft-money capital structure without that structure eventually breaking.
The Strategy Inc. story is no longer just a Bitcoin bet.
It’s a live experiment in what happens when the hardest asset meets the most fragile financial architecture.
$BTC #BTCTrap
———————————-
One company now controls 3.1% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist — Strategy Inc. (MicroStrategy).
Yesterday it reported $1.44 billion in cash reserves.
And its stock immediately plunged to a 52-week low.
Read that again:
The best financial update in years. The worst price reaction in years.
Not irrational — just the market solving a math problem that no longer computes.
The Numbers
650,000 BTC on the balance sheet
$55.9B in Bitcoin holdings
$49.3B total market cap
Strategy Inc. now trades at a discount to its own Bitcoin.
Each share gives you less than $1 of the asset it represents.
This has never happened before.
The Mechanism
For four years, the company executed a perfect flywheel:
Issue stock at a premium
Use proceeds to buy Bitcoin
Rising Bitcoin price increases premium
Repeat
That premium is gone.
The flywheel is now spinning in reverse.
The Trigger Date
January 15, 2026.
MSCI will decide whether Bitcoin-heavy companies belong in major indices.
JPMorgan estimates $2.8B in forced selling if Strategy is removed.
Index funds don’t negotiate. They follow rules.
44 days left.
The CEO’s Signal
Management has now admitted publicly that selling Bitcoin is “on the table” if the discount persists.
After four years of accumulation and 650,000 BTC, liquidation is no longer a theoretical risk — it's a stated option.
The Cash Equation
$1.44B cash = 21 months of dividend coverage
Bitcoin = no yield
Software division = negative cash flow
Preferred shares = $650M per year
Month 22 becomes the question the market is pricing now.
The Stakes
This isn’t about one stock.
It’s about whether any corporation can hold hard money inside a soft-money capital structure without that structure eventually breaking.
The Strategy Inc. story is no longer just a Bitcoin bet.
It’s a live experiment in what happens when the hardest asset meets the most fragile financial architecture.
$BTC #BTCTrap
原文参照
*QT後の時代が始まる: 2025年12月1日*
2025年12月1日 — この日をマークしてください。⚠️
連邦準備制度は30か月連続で、金融システムから2兆ドル以上を引き出しました…
そのバランスシートは9兆ドルから6.6兆ドルに減少しました — これまでに見た中で最も積極的な引き締めです。
❌ その章は今は閉じられました。
🔥 定量的引き締めは真夜中に正式に終了しました。
それと共に、体制が変わります：
📉 製造業は8か月間収縮しています
📉 消費者の感情は過去の低水準に近いです
📉 ADPは雇用の喪失を示唆しています
📈 12月の利下げ確率？ 86.4%
しかし、危機はありませんでした。
救済もありません。
強制的な方向転換もありません。
連邦準備制度は今や“十分な”準備金があると言っています。
引き締めは完了しました。
着陸は制御されています。
今、市場は新しいルールの下で動きます。
ここから何が変わりますか？
💧 流動性が縮小を止めます
📉 財務省の資金調達圧力が和らぎます
📈 リスク資産が主要な逆風を失います
💵 ドルのダイナミクスが再調整されます
📊 バランスシートが市場の出血を止めます
12月9日、FOMCは金利を3.50–3.75%に引き下げる準備が整っています。
しかし、実際の転換点はすでに起こりました — 今日です。
これは予測ではありません。
これはマーカーです。
体制のリセットです。
🚀 希少性のために構築された市場は、拡張の時代で取引されようとしています。
古いルールでまだプレイしている人は、新しいルールを厳しく学ぶことになるでしょう。
📌 カレンダーが変わりました。
市場環境全体も変わりました。
$BTC
#December1st
2025年12月1日 — この日をマークしてください。⚠️
連邦準備制度は30か月連続で、金融システムから2兆ドル以上を引き出しました…
そのバランスシートは9兆ドルから6.6兆ドルに減少しました — これまでに見た中で最も積極的な引き締めです。
❌ その章は今は閉じられました。
🔥 定量的引き締めは真夜中に正式に終了しました。
それと共に、体制が変わります：
📉 製造業は8か月間収縮しています
📉 消費者の感情は過去の低水準に近いです
📉 ADPは雇用の喪失を示唆しています
📈 12月の利下げ確率？ 86.4%
しかし、危機はありませんでした。
救済もありません。
強制的な方向転換もありません。
連邦準備制度は今や“十分な”準備金があると言っています。
引き締めは完了しました。
着陸は制御されています。
今、市場は新しいルールの下で動きます。
ここから何が変わりますか？
💧 流動性が縮小を止めます
📉 財務省の資金調達圧力が和らぎます
📈 リスク資産が主要な逆風を失います
💵 ドルのダイナミクスが再調整されます
📊 バランスシートが市場の出血を止めます
12月9日、FOMCは金利を3.50–3.75%に引き下げる準備が整っています。
しかし、実際の転換点はすでに起こりました — 今日です。
これは予測ではありません。
これはマーカーです。
体制のリセットです。
🚀 希少性のために構築された市場は、拡張の時代で取引されようとしています。
古いルールでまだプレイしている人は、新しいルールを厳しく学ぶことになるでしょう。
📌 カレンダーが変わりました。
市場環境全体も変わりました。
$BTC
#December1st
原文参照
ZECは大きな動きに備えている: ネックラインブレイク = $800+?
市場構造
価格は長期的な上昇チャネル内で明確な逆ヘッドアンドショルダーパターンを形成しました。ネックラインは$640–$720の供給ゾーンと一致し、以前のダブルトップエリアとも対応しています。
トレンドの概要
広範なトレンドは11月初旬以来強気のままですが、最近の価格動向は上昇モメンタムの弱まりを示しています。右肩での拒否とマイナートレンドラインの下抜けは、買い手への圧力の増加を浮き彫りにしています。
注目すべき重要レベル
ネックライン / ダブルトップ抵抗: $640–$720
価格は長期的な上昇チャネル内で明確な逆ヘッドアンドショルダーパターンを形成しました。ネックラインは$640–$720の供給ゾーンと一致し、以前のダブルトップエリアとも対応しています。
トレンドの概要
広範なトレンドは11月初旬以来強気のままですが、最近の価格動向は上昇モメンタムの弱まりを示しています。右肩での拒否とマイナートレンドラインの下抜けは、買い手への圧力の増加を浮き彫りにしています。
注目すべき重要レベル
ネックライン / ダブルトップ抵抗: $640–$720
翻訳
A 982% Rally… Then a 95% Crash?” Analyst Issues Stark XRP Warning
A well-known crypto analyst has issued a strong warning to XRP holders who are anticipating a major price rally.$BTC
According to analyst Jaydee, $XRP may be setting up for what he describes as another “historical pump-and-dump”cycle — a dramatic surge followed by a steep crash, mirroring patterns from previous XRP market phases.
⭐ XRP’s Historical Pump-and-Dump Pattern
Jaydee points to XRP’s major 2017 cycle as an example of the extreme volatility the asset has shown. In that cycle, XRP jumped from around $0.006 to $3.84 in early 2018. During the hype, some influencers predicted unrealistic price targets as high as $589. Instead of continuing upward, XRP collapsed roughly 95%, resulting in heavy losses for many retail traders — the “dumb money,” as Jaydee puts it.
⭐ Possible Rally to $21 — Then a Major Crash
In his latest analysis, Jaydee suggests XRP may be gearing up for another explosive run. He projects a rally toward $21, which would be a 982% increase from the current price of $1.94.
However, he warns that the peak could align with an influx of social-media-driven hype as influencers push bullish narratives while secretly preparing to exit their positions.
Jaydee predicts that once early investors begin selling, XRP could again face a severe correction — potentially retracing up to 95% from the top into what he calls his “bear pink box” region.
⭐ “Many Will Lose, Only a Few Will Retire”
The analyst stresses that most investors will not be ready for a rapid spike followed by a deep decline. He expects that, just like in 2017, smart money will sell near the top while late buyers become exit liquidity.
A small number of well-timed investors, he claims, could still make life-changing gains.$XRP
⭐ Alternative View: A Different Market This Time
Not all analysts agree with Jaydee’s outlook.
Crypto trader Moon Jay believes XRP’s market structure may be changing due to increasing institutional adoption and its expanding role in global payments.
He argues that institutions accumulating XRP for utility purposes — such as payments or treasury reserves — are less likely to trigger the massive sell-offs previously seen from whale traders. According to him, the utility-driven market may create a more stable long-term environment.
According to analyst Jaydee, $XRP may be setting up for what he describes as another “historical pump-and-dump”cycle — a dramatic surge followed by a steep crash, mirroring patterns from previous XRP market phases.
⭐ XRP’s Historical Pump-and-Dump Pattern
Jaydee points to XRP’s major 2017 cycle as an example of the extreme volatility the asset has shown. In that cycle, XRP jumped from around $0.006 to $3.84 in early 2018. During the hype, some influencers predicted unrealistic price targets as high as $589. Instead of continuing upward, XRP collapsed roughly 95%, resulting in heavy losses for many retail traders — the “dumb money,” as Jaydee puts it.
⭐ Possible Rally to $21 — Then a Major Crash
In his latest analysis, Jaydee suggests XRP may be gearing up for another explosive run. He projects a rally toward $21, which would be a 982% increase from the current price of $1.94.
However, he warns that the peak could align with an influx of social-media-driven hype as influencers push bullish narratives while secretly preparing to exit their positions.
Jaydee predicts that once early investors begin selling, XRP could again face a severe correction — potentially retracing up to 95% from the top into what he calls his “bear pink box” region.
⭐ “Many Will Lose, Only a Few Will Retire”
The analyst stresses that most investors will not be ready for a rapid spike followed by a deep decline. He expects that, just like in 2017, smart money will sell near the top while late buyers become exit liquidity.
A small number of well-timed investors, he claims, could still make life-changing gains.$XRP
⭐ Alternative View: A Different Market This Time
Not all analysts agree with Jaydee’s outlook.
Crypto trader Moon Jay believes XRP’s market structure may be changing due to increasing institutional adoption and its expanding role in global payments.
He argues that institutions accumulating XRP for utility purposes — such as payments or treasury reserves — are less likely to trigger the massive sell-offs previously seen from whale traders. According to him, the utility-driven market may create a more stable long-term environment.
翻訳
SOL Market Update: Strong Bounce From $130 — What Could Come Next? 🔥
Market Framework (Originally Presented as a Long Day-Trade Setup):
Potential Entry Zone 1: $142.00Potential Entry Zone 2: $140.50Target Range 1: $144.50Target Range 2: $146.80Target Range 3: $148.20Protective Level: $138.80Leverage Mentioned: 20x–50x (high-risk)For Spot Participants: The commentary suggests that interest may develop around $140–$138, but emphasizes patience rather than reacting to sudden upward moves.$SOL
Current Pair: SOLUSDT
Price: 141.2
Change: +1.08%
Market Context:
SOL has rebounded sharply from $130.44, showing renewed strength supported by increased trading volume. The price is currently hovering near the $143–$144 resistance region. If price action remains above $141, the analysis implies potential continuation toward the $146–$149 zone. On the other hand, slipping below support could open the way for another test of $138–$136, an area where buyers have previously shown interest.$BTC
Overall sentiment appears to be improving following a significant downturn, though the commentary cautions against entering after strong green candles without a clear structure. Managing risk remains essential—adjusting protective levels as price moves favorably and prioritizing capital preservation.$BTC
Potential Entry Zone 1: $142.00Potential Entry Zone 2: $140.50Target Range 1: $144.50Target Range 2: $146.80Target Range 3: $148.20Protective Level: $138.80Leverage Mentioned: 20x–50x (high-risk)For Spot Participants: The commentary suggests that interest may develop around $140–$138, but emphasizes patience rather than reacting to sudden upward moves.$SOL
Current Pair: SOLUSDT
Price: 141.2
Change: +1.08%
Market Context:
SOL has rebounded sharply from $130.44, showing renewed strength supported by increased trading volume. The price is currently hovering near the $143–$144 resistance region. If price action remains above $141, the analysis implies potential continuation toward the $146–$149 zone. On the other hand, slipping below support could open the way for another test of $138–$136, an area where buyers have previously shown interest.$BTC
Overall sentiment appears to be improving following a significant downturn, though the commentary cautions against entering after strong green candles without a clear structure. Managing risk remains essential—adjusting protective levels as price moves favorably and prioritizing capital preservation.$BTC
翻訳
Ripple Rumored to Plan $1B XRP Buyback and New Treasury Entity
A recent post by XRP advocate Skipper has sparked discussion around new claims that Ripple may be preparing a major initiative to purchase XRP from the open market. According to the post, Ripple is reportedly planning a $1 billion buyback and the creation of a specialized digital-asset treasury company. This new entity would allegedly focus on acquiring XRP directly from exchanges and coordinating with banks in ways that could influence overall supply dynamics.$ETH
Skipper’s message was shared alongside a video summarizing the supposed strategy. The video asserts that Ripple is discreetly organizing a large-scale XRP repurchase program and establishing a treasury structure dedicated to accumulating and holding the asset. It also claims the treasury would work with banking partners, operate as an institutional vehicle for long-term accumulation, and contribute to decreasing the circulating supply.$BTC
According to the video, this approach is meant to promote greater price stability, tighten market liquidity, and potentially create conditions for a future supply squeeze. It concludes by suggesting that such actions could be beneficial for XRP holders, emphasizing that any purchases would take place directly on exchanges rather than through Ripple’s existing escrow mechanisms.$XRP
Skipper’s message was shared alongside a video summarizing the supposed strategy. The video asserts that Ripple is discreetly organizing a large-scale XRP repurchase program and establishing a treasury structure dedicated to accumulating and holding the asset. It also claims the treasury would work with banking partners, operate as an institutional vehicle for long-term accumulation, and contribute to decreasing the circulating supply.$BTC
According to the video, this approach is meant to promote greater price stability, tighten market liquidity, and potentially create conditions for a future supply squeeze. It concludes by suggesting that such actions could be beneficial for XRP holders, emphasizing that any purchases would take place directly on exchanges rather than through Ripple’s existing escrow mechanisms.$XRP
原文参照
次世代金融インフラに向けて” “東京からオマハへ：日本のブロックチェーンのどう
最近、元ロンドンの銀行家であるベルグレイブ卿からのコメントは、ウォーレン・バフェットの記録的な現金準備と、そのような資本が最終的にターゲットにする可能性のあるインフラの種類についての視点を提供しました。それに対して、暗号アナリストのステラ・リップラーは、バークシャー・ハサウェイの日本における活動と、企業グレードの決済ネットワークのグローバルな発展を結びつける詳細な解釈を提供しました。$BNB
バフェットの流動性ポジションと将来の資本フローへの影響
ベルグレイブは、バフェットの異常に高い流動性のレベルを強調し、この資本の一部が最終的に機関グレードの決済を支えることができるシステムに向けられると示唆しました。彼の見解は、グローバルな金融業務のために設計されたスケーラブルで効率的なデジタルインフラに中心を置いています。
バフェットの流動性ポジションと将来の資本フローへの影響
ベルグレイブは、バフェットの異常に高い流動性のレベルを強調し、この資本の一部が最終的に機関グレードの決済を支えることができるシステムに向けられると示唆しました。彼の見解は、グローバルな金融業務のために設計されたスケーラブルで効率的なデジタルインフラに中心を置いています。
翻訳
Bitcoin Faces Overnight Volatility as Price Dips Below $90,000 and Rapidly Rebounds
The crypto markets delivered another dramatic overnight move as Bitcoin briefly fell below the $90,000 level during low-liquidity hours, triggering a sharp but short-lived flash drop.$BTC
Within minutes, however, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing BTC back upward and stabilizing price action.$ETH
What Caused the Flash Drop?
Bitcoin’s sudden move was driven by a combination of factors:
Risk-Off Sentiment Across Global Markets: Pressure on tech and AI equities spilled over into digital assets.
Whale & ETF Profit-Taking: Large orders in a thin overnight order book intensified volatility.
Derivatives Liquidations: The downside move triggered a cascade of stop-losses and forced liquidations.
Panic Selling: Momentum accelerated as retail positions were shaken out.
Despite the turmoil, the market quickly found support, highlighting ongoing demand and active dip-buying behavior.
Bitcoin Faces Overnight Volatility as Price Dips Below $90,000 and Rapidly Rebounds
The crypto markets delivered another dramatic overnight move as Bitcoin briefly fell below the $90,000 level during low-liquidity hours, triggering a sharp but short-lived flash drop.
Within minutes, however, buyers stepped in aggressively, pushing BTC back upward and stabilizing price action.
What Caused the Flash Drop?
Bitcoin’s sudden move was driven by a combination of factors:
Risk-Off Sentiment Across Global Markets: Pressure on tech and AI equities spilled over into digital assets.
Whale & ETF Profit-Taking: Large orders in a thin overnight order book intensified volatility.
Derivatives Liquidations: The downside move triggered a cascade of stop-losses and forced liquidations.
Panic Selling: Momentum accelerated as retail positions were shaken out.$ETH
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