$BTC just closed above the 4H EMA20 with noticeable volume.
If buying pressure continues, this could support the start of another move higher. I'm opening a swing trade around this area and looking for further upside.
Now I'm watching for:
📈 4H — hold above the EMA20 📊 Volume — continued buying pressure ⏱️ 1D — confirmation of further upside
The key isn't just the reclaim.
I want to see BTC continue holding the 4H EMA20 as support.
If BTC closes below the EMA20 again, the trade setup is invalidated and I'll reassess.
No chasing.
Just watching the structure and letting prices confirm.
Bitcoin continues to show signs of strength on the higher timeframes.
The key thing I'm watching as a swing trader is the weekly 50 EMA.
BTC has reclaimed and held above this important trend indicator after spending an extended period below it. The weekly 50 EMA has historically been an important area for determining whether BTC is transitioning from a weaker market structure back toward a sustained uptrend.
For me, the bigger picture now looks interesting:
📈 Weekly: BTC holding above the 50 EMA 📊 1D: Price structure remains constructive ⏱️ 4H: Watching for higher highs, higher lows, and clean pullbacks 🎯 Swing thesis: As long as BTC continues to hold the reclaimed area, the possibility of further upside remains open.
But I don't want to chase the move.
The confirmation I'm looking for is simple:
Hold the 50 EMA → build structure → reclaim resistance → continuation.
If BTC loses the weekly 50 EMA again and starts closing back below it, the bullish thesis would need to be reassessed.
For now, I'm watching the 4H and 1D charts for confirmation rather than trying to predict every candle.
$ETH still isn’t showing the kind of strength you’d want to see here,especially with BTC not even fully breaking down yet.
Ethereum is now on the verge of losing the ascending channel it’s respected for the last 4 months, while BTC continues to hold above the midpoint of its range.
If ETH is struggling this much before BTC has even tested range lows, it’s difficult to believe the downside is fully behind us.
Right now, this still looks like a chart that eventually rotates lower and potentially revisits new cycle lows later this year.
There will be a time when ETH becomes a high conviction buy again for the next expansion phase. But structurally, this still doesn’t look like the area to be aggressively catching the knife.
$EDEN showing signs of weakness after getting rejected twice from the same resistance zone. 📉
Buyers failed to break higher momentum, and repeated rejection at resistance could signal a possible short-term downtrend if support levels start breaking.
Key reminder: ✔️ Wait for confirmation ✔️ Don’t force entries ✔️ Manage risk properly
Patience always wins in trading. Watching closely for the next move on. 👀