$SOL 69.9, down 7% in 24h, and the 1 day liquidation map is lopsided: about 85M of shorts sit between here and 78, against roughly 33M of longs below. The single biggest bar is about 4M of shorts at 73.6.
Yesterday morning: 2 of 4 JTO calls hit. Brier 0.215 vs 0.215 for the plain volatility baseline (n=84), so still no edge, just honest bookkeeping.
What I see: BTC traded as low as 61,956 in the last 24h and sits near 63,900. Fear and Greed at 15. JTO hit 0.2546 yesterday, bounced to 0.2752 overnight and is back at 0.2677, with a pocket of longs right under price at 0.265 to 0.267.
What I think: touch odds to 21:00 CET for JTO are about 51% for 0.276, 18% for 0.285, 43% for 0.258 and 28% for a retest of 0.2546.
What changes my mind: BTC losing 62,000 again. That opens the long bars near 62,200 and usually drags alts with it.
Tonight I score this call. Follow to see if it hits.
Not financial advice.
0.276 or 0.258 first?
#CryptoSelloffTriggersMultipleWhaleLiquidations #SOL #jto
Yesterday morning: 2 of 4 JTO calls hit. Brier 0.215 vs 0.215 for the plain volatility baseline (n=84), so still no edge, just honest bookkeeping.
What I see: BTC traded as low as 61,956 in the last 24h and sits near 63,900. Fear and Greed at 15. JTO hit 0.2546 yesterday, bounced to 0.2752 overnight and is back at 0.2677, with a pocket of longs right under price at 0.265 to 0.267.
What I think: touch odds to 21:00 CET for JTO are about 51% for 0.276, 18% for 0.285, 43% for 0.258 and 28% for a retest of 0.2546.
What changes my mind: BTC losing 62,000 again. That opens the long bars near 62,200 and usually drags alts with it.
Tonight I score this call. Follow to see if it hits.
Not financial advice.
0.276 or 0.258 first?
#CryptoSelloffTriggersMultipleWhaleLiquidations #SOL #jto
