WHY IS EVERYTHING FALLING AGAIN?! 📉
What hit the market this week:
🔻Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigned amid a spy scandal, AI stocks sold off, and crypto followed
🔻A stronger dollar and rising bond yields
🔻Spot BTC ETF outflows and about $1.6B in liquidations
🔻Extra noise: a US-wide flight ground stop, a global Microsoft outage (both technical failures, not attacks) and the earlier cyberattacks on supermarket freezers in Europe
🔸The halving math
Bear market bottoms have come about 12 months after the peak and about 17 months before the next halving.
• Peak: Oct 2025
• Next halving: ~April 2028
➡️ Both point to now, late 2026, as the bottom zone.
🔸When could the next ATH come? 🚀
After a bottom, BTC has usually broken its old high within about 6–9 months of the halving:
• 2016 halving → old ATH broken in early 2017
• 2020 halving → old ATH broken in Dec 2020
• 2024 halving → old ATH broken in March 2024, even before the halving (ETF demand)
After that, the cycle peak has come about 17–18 months after the halving:
• 2016 → Dec 2017
• 2020 → Nov 2021
• 2024 → Oct 2025
If the pattern holds:
📍 Breaking $126K: late 2027 to late 2028
📍 Cycle peak: around autumn 2029
My plan is still the same for long term holdings:
✅ Buy BTC and top coins on spot, no leverage
✅ Buy in parts (DCA) through the bear phase
✅ Keep some cash 💰 in case it drops to $60–63K or even below
✅ Hold until the next bull phase
History rhymes, it doesn't repeat, and every cycle has been a bit different😎
#Bitcoin #BTC #crypto #halving #FearAndGreed
What hit the market this week:
🔻Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang resigned amid a spy scandal, AI stocks sold off, and crypto followed
🔻A stronger dollar and rising bond yields
🔻Spot BTC ETF outflows and about $1.6B in liquidations
🔻Extra noise: a US-wide flight ground stop, a global Microsoft outage (both technical failures, not attacks) and the earlier cyberattacks on supermarket freezers in Europe
🔸The halving math
Bear market bottoms have come about 12 months after the peak and about 17 months before the next halving.
• Peak: Oct 2025
• Next halving: ~April 2028
➡️ Both point to now, late 2026, as the bottom zone.
🔸When could the next ATH come? 🚀
After a bottom, BTC has usually broken its old high within about 6–9 months of the halving:
• 2016 halving → old ATH broken in early 2017
• 2020 halving → old ATH broken in Dec 2020
• 2024 halving → old ATH broken in March 2024, even before the halving (ETF demand)
After that, the cycle peak has come about 17–18 months after the halving:
• 2016 → Dec 2017
• 2020 → Nov 2021
• 2024 → Oct 2025
If the pattern holds:
📍 Breaking $126K: late 2027 to late 2028
📍 Cycle peak: around autumn 2029
My plan is still the same for long term holdings:
✅ Buy BTC and top coins on spot, no leverage
✅ Buy in parts (DCA) through the bear phase
✅ Keep some cash 💰 in case it drops to $60–63K or even below
✅ Hold until the next bull phase
History rhymes, it doesn't repeat, and every cycle has been a bit different😎
#Bitcoin #BTC #crypto #halving #FearAndGreed
