Tap the live $BTC and $ETH widgets below to analyze open positions.

🌐 Macro Parameters

Markets price a 100% chance of a Fed hike on Dec 9, with about 87% odds of 25 basis points and about 13% to 15% for 50 basis points, up from about 77% a week ago. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.17%, while hotter-than-expected October CPI and core PPI added to inflation concerns.

📊 Market Structure

$BTC trades near $68,800, down about 5% on the day after reaching $67,568, its lowest since August. $ETH trades near $1,940, down about 4% and below $2,000, while crypto liquidations reached about $1.5 billion in 24 hours and the Fear and Greed Index fell to 20, signaling Extreme Fear.

💧 Allocation Framework

The allocation debate centers on staying defensive through cash and short-duration exposure with a December rate hike fully priced and 10-year yields above 5%. The alternative is holding $BTC and $ETH above $67,568 and $1,896, respectively.

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💬 Risk-on or risk-off?

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