ARIA: The broader direction is clearer than the short-term timing.
🟢 LONG
$ARIA /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Three timeframes
4h · Closed EMA structure favors LONG.
1h · Closed EMA structure is bullish.
15m · Review the next closed candle for confirmation.
Entry: 0.24121 – 0.24655
TP1: 0.2615 (+7.2% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.27324 (+12.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.29086 (+19.3% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.22039 (-9.6%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.55R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors SHORT; short-term timing has not aligned with the LONG case.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL is hit, 4h loses LONG, or 1h turns SHORT.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 11 Nov 16:24 UTC | Expires 11 Nov 16:50 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🟢 LONG
$ARIA /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
Three timeframes
4h · Closed EMA structure favors LONG.
1h · Closed EMA structure is bullish.
15m · Review the next closed candle for confirmation.
Entry: 0.24121 – 0.24655
TP1: 0.2615 (+7.2% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.27324 (+12.0% | 1.25R) [projection]
TP3: 0.29086 (+19.3% | 2.00R) [projection]
SL: 0.22039 (-9.6%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.55R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Main risk: 15m DI favors SHORT; short-term timing has not aligned with the LONG case.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL is hit, 4h loses LONG, or 1h turns SHORT.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 11 Nov 16:24 UTC | Expires 11 Nov 16:50 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.

