๐๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ, ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ ๐ต ๐ก๐ผ๐ ๐
$๐๐ง๐ swept ~$๐ณ๐ฏ.๐ด๐ late Sunday (lowest since Aug) and bounced to ~$๐ณ๐ฑ๐, wiping out $๐ญ๐+ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต (~$๐ต๐ญ๐ฏ๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด๐).
๐ฅ ๐ช๐ต๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฑ:
โข ๐ก๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ข ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฒ (BTC-Nasdaq correlation sits at ~๐ฌ.๐ฒ๐ด)
โข ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ธ๐ + Spot ETFs bled -$๐ญ.๐ฎ๐ด๐ last week
๐บ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐น๐:
๐ข $๐ณ๐ฑ.๐ณ๐: STH cost basis (30K+ BTC just capitulated at a loss). Reclaim = stability.
๐ก $๐ณ๐ฒ.๐ฑ๐โ$๐ณ๐ณ.๐ณ๐: 200D EMA, True Market Mean & ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ฑ๐ฌ-๐ ๐.
๐ด $๐ณ๐ฏ๐: 200D MA floor. Losing it opens $๐ณ๐ฌ๐ โ $๐ฒ๐ด๐โ$๐ฒ๐ต๐ (0.618 Golden Pocket).
*(Note: 1W seller volume just crossed above averageโnearing ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป per @rektcapital).*
โฐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐๐: ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ง๐๐ฒ ๐ด:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐๐ง (๐ญ๐ด:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐๐ง)
โข ๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐: Headline +๐ฌ.๐ฏ% ๐บ/๐บ | Core +๐ฌ.๐ฎ% ๐บ/๐บ (Dec hike odds: ~๐ณ๐ดโ๐ด๐ฌ%).
โข ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ โค ๐ฌ.๐ฎ%: Dollar cools โ relief bounce to $๐ณ๐ฒ.๐ฑ๐โ$๐ณ๐ด๐ (catching up to ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ~$๐ฐ.๐ญ๐ & ๐ฆ๐ถ๐น๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ~$๐ฑ๐ฏ).
โข ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ โฅ ๐ฌ.๐ฏ%: Hike odds jump โ $๐ณ๐ฏ๐ retest.
๐ก๏ธ ๐ ๐ ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ป: No chasing before CPI thin liquidity = fakeout wicks.
๐๐ผ๐ฒ๐ $๐ณ๐ฑ๐ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐ $๐ณ๐ฏ๐ ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐? ๐
๐ก๐๐. ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ.
$๐๐ง๐ swept ~$๐ณ๐ฏ.๐ด๐ late Sunday (lowest since Aug) and bounced to ~$๐ณ๐ฑ๐, wiping out $๐ญ๐+ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต (~$๐ต๐ญ๐ฏ๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด๐).
๐ฅ ๐ช๐ต๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฑ:
โข ๐ก๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ข ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฒ (BTC-Nasdaq correlation sits at ~๐ฌ.๐ฒ๐ด)
โข ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ธ๐ + Spot ETFs bled -$๐ญ.๐ฎ๐ด๐ last week
๐บ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐น๐:
๐ข $๐ณ๐ฑ.๐ณ๐: STH cost basis (30K+ BTC just capitulated at a loss). Reclaim = stability.
๐ก $๐ณ๐ฒ.๐ฑ๐โ$๐ณ๐ณ.๐ณ๐: 200D EMA, True Market Mean & ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ๐น๐ ๐ฑ๐ฌ-๐ ๐.
๐ด $๐ณ๐ฏ๐: 200D MA floor. Losing it opens $๐ณ๐ฌ๐ โ $๐ฒ๐ด๐โ$๐ฒ๐ต๐ (0.618 Golden Pocket).
*(Note: 1W seller volume just crossed above averageโnearing ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป per @rektcapital).*
โฐ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐๐: ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ง๐๐ฒ ๐ด:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐๐ง (๐ญ๐ด:๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐๐ง)
โข ๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐: Headline +๐ฌ.๐ฏ% ๐บ/๐บ | Core +๐ฌ.๐ฎ% ๐บ/๐บ (Dec hike odds: ~๐ณ๐ดโ๐ด๐ฌ%).
โข ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ โค ๐ฌ.๐ฎ%: Dollar cools โ relief bounce to $๐ณ๐ฒ.๐ฑ๐โ$๐ณ๐ด๐ (catching up to ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ~$๐ฐ.๐ญ๐ & ๐ฆ๐ถ๐น๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ~$๐ฑ๐ฏ).
โข ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ โฅ ๐ฌ.๐ฏ%: Hike odds jump โ $๐ณ๐ฏ๐ retest.
๐ก๏ธ ๐ ๐ ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ป: No chasing before CPI thin liquidity = fakeout wicks.
๐๐ผ๐ฒ๐ $๐ณ๐ฑ๐ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐ $๐ณ๐ฏ๐ ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐? ๐
๐ก๐๐. ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐ฅ.
