$LINK : Bearish momentum remains strong, but patience is essential before entering.

🔴 SHORT

$LINK /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES

Market Status: Waiting for price to revisit the designated entry area.

Timeframe Overview

4H: EMA structure maintains a bearish bias.

1H: Closed candles continue to support the downside trend.

15M: DI+ at 8.3 and DI− at 49.8 indicate strong selling dominance. ADX at 38.3 reflects trend strength.

Trade Parameters

Entry Zone: 10.444 – 10.466

TP1: 10.263 (-1.8%)

TP2: 10.065 (-3.7%)

TP3: 9.831 (-6.0%)

Stop Loss: 10.767 (+3.0%)

Risk Assessment

The first target offers approximately 0.62R before fees and slippage, with an estimated net return of 0.49R under the stated assumptions.

Important Consideration: The 1H closing price is currently 3.6 ATR below EMA50. This extended distance increases the possibility of a temporary recovery before another downward move.

Entry Plan: Allow price to return to the entry zone, then evaluate a fully closed 15M candle. Entry confirmation is still pending.

Invalidation Conditions: Stop-loss execution, a bearish structure breakdown on 4H, or a bullish reversal on 1H.

Trade Management: If the setup activates, distribute exits as follows:

50% at TP1

25% at TP2

25% at TP3

After TP1 is reached, move the stop loss to the entry price before accounting for trading costs.