📊 DOTUSDT.P 4H — WAITING SHORT (lower-high rejection)
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📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 0.894 | EMA20 0.922 | EMA50 0.945 falling | EMA200 1.034 | ATR14 0.0221
Structure: lower highs 0.9962 → 0.9609 → 0.948, lower lows 0.9042 → 0.8848. Nov 7 PL 0.8974.
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🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 0.940–0.948 (Nov 6 lower high) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 0.935 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 0.9284 (lower = NO TRADE)
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❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 0.948 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 0.948 = stop and R recomputed.
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🛑 SL 0.9547 (swing 0.948 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 0.8848 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 2.27R net @ 0.935
✅ TP2 0.8671 (Oct 30 low) ≈ 3.10R net
✅ TP3 0.8290 (Aug 26 low) ≈ 4.88R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 0.890–0.898 is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
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⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 0.467 DOT per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.44). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 2.03R / 2.80R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 0.9301 to keep 1.5R).
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🧭 Confidence: medium — trend and lower-high structure favor shorts, zone has only 2 touches/200 bars, and net R is comfortable, but price must rally ~5% into the zone before activation and may expire first.
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Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
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🔔 Follow for live levels
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$DOT $BTC
#BinanceSquare #DOT #CryptoTrading #WriteToEarn
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📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 0.894 | EMA20 0.922 | EMA50 0.945 falling | EMA200 1.034 | ATR14 0.0221
Structure: lower highs 0.9962 → 0.9609 → 0.948, lower lows 0.9042 → 0.8848. Nov 7 PL 0.8974.
⠀
🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 0.940–0.948 (Nov 6 lower high) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 0.935 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 0.9284 (lower = NO TRADE)
⠀
❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 0.948 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 0.948 = stop and R recomputed.
⠀
🛑 SL 0.9547 (swing 0.948 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 0.8848 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 2.27R net @ 0.935
✅ TP2 0.8671 (Oct 30 low) ≈ 3.10R net
✅ TP3 0.8290 (Aug 26 low) ≈ 4.88R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 0.890–0.898 is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
⠀
⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 0.467 DOT per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.44). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 2.03R / 2.80R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 0.9301 to keep 1.5R).
⠀
🧭 Confidence: medium — trend and lower-high structure favor shorts, zone has only 2 touches/200 bars, and net R is comfortable, but price must rally ~5% into the zone before activation and may expire first.
⠀
Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
⠀
🔔 Follow for live levels
⠀
$DOT $BTC
#BinanceSquare #DOT #CryptoTrading #WriteToEarn
