📊 SOLUSDT.P 4H — WAITING SHORT (lower-high rejection)
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📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 89.46 | EMA20 91.25 | EMA50 93.58 falling | EMA200 100.87 | ATR14 1.64
Structure: lower highs 98.16 → 97.08 → 91.58, lower lows 89.80 → 88.24. Base 89.13–89.70 tested 5x = weak support.
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🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 91.00–91.58 (Nov 6 lower high + EMA20) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 90.90 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 90.71 (lower = NO TRADE)
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❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 91.58 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 91.58 = stop and R recomputed.
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🛑 SL 92.08 (swing 91.58 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 88.24 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 1.66R net @ 90.80
✅ TP2 87.00 (Aug 22 low) ≈ 2.52R net
✅ TP3 83.97 (Aug 20 low) ≈ 4.62R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 89.13–89.70 base is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
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⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 0.0069 SOL per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.63). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 1.39R / 2.16R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 90.87 to keep 1.5R).
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🧭 Confidence: medium-low — trend and structure favor shorts, but the stop is tight (~0.8 ATR), the fill window is narrow (90.71–91.58), and the retest may not come before expiry.
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Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
⠀
🔔 Follow for live levels
⠀
$SOL $BTC
#BinanceSquare #SOL #CryptoTrading #WriteToEarn
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📉 Market: Downtrend. Price 89.46 | EMA20 91.25 | EMA50 93.58 falling | EMA200 100.87 | ATR14 1.64
Structure: lower highs 98.16 → 97.08 → 91.58, lower lows 89.80 → 88.24. Base 89.13–89.70 tested 5x = weak support.
⠀
🎯 Plan (WAITING — not entered):
• Wait for a rally into 91.00–91.58 (Nov 6 lower high + EMA20) AFTER this post
• Activation: a closed 4H candle back below 90.90 (rejection). Zone touch ≠ entry
• Executable fill: next-bar open / first quote after confirmation, minimum short fill 90.71 (lower = NO TRADE)
⠀
❌ Invalidation / cancel: 4H close above 91.58 before activation, stop hit, or expiry 11-08 19:00 Riyadh (6 bars). Cancel wins; no revival. A new wick above 91.58 = stop and R recomputed.
⠀
🛑 SL 92.08 (swing 91.58 + 0.3×ATR)
✅ TP1 88.24 (Nov 5 low) ≈ 1.66R net @ 90.80
✅ TP2 87.00 (Aug 22 low) ≈ 2.52R net
✅ TP3 83.97 (Aug 20 low) ≈ 4.62R net
Partials 40% / 35% / 25%. 89.13–89.70 base is the first obstacle; EMAs = moving resistance, not targets.
⠀
⚖️ Risk: size so the planned stop loss ≈ 1% of equity → qty/equity ≈ 0.0069 SOL per 1 USDT (notional/equity ≈ 0.63). Formula only, no balance assumed. Gaps can exceed 1%. Costs assumed, unverified: 0.05% fee + 0.05% slippage per side + 0.03% funding reserve; stress 2× costs ≈ 1.39R / 2.16R on TP1 / TP2 (needs fill ≥ 90.87 to keep 1.5R).
⠀
🧭 Confidence: medium-low — trend and structure favor shorts, but the stop is tight (~0.8 ATR), the fill window is narrow (90.71–91.58), and the retest may not come before expiry.
⠀
Not financial advice. DYOR. ✅
⠀
🔔 Follow for live levels
⠀
$SOL $BTC
#BinanceSquare #SOL #CryptoTrading #WriteToEarn
