DOT: The 4h direction meets an objection from the hourly RSI reading.
🔴 SHORT
$DOT /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Zone reached; confirmation pending.
The trade-off
Main risk: 1h RSI 60.8 opposes SHORT; hourly momentum can interrupt the trend case.
Watch also: Confirmed 1h support at 0.9474 can interrupt progress toward later targets.
Why it remains on watch
The available 1h RSI evidence opposes the plan, leaving momentum at odds with the supporting 4h structure.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h mixed.
• 15m DI+ 20.1 / DI− 22.0: leans SHORT; ADX 22.1 measures strength.
The levels
Entry: 0.9593 – 0.9622
TP1: 0.9521 (-0.9% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.9489 (-1.2% | 1.03R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.9471 (-1.4% | 1.18R) [1h swing]
SL: 0.9724 (+1.2%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.41R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Entry review: Zone reached; review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.9724, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 04 Nov 17:45 UTC | Expires 04 Nov 18:15 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$DOT /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Zone reached; confirmation pending.
The trade-off
Main risk: 1h RSI 60.8 opposes SHORT; hourly momentum can interrupt the trend case.
Watch also: Confirmed 1h support at 0.9474 can interrupt progress toward later targets.
Why it remains on watch
The available 1h RSI evidence opposes the plan, leaving momentum at odds with the supporting 4h structure.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h mixed.
• 15m DI+ 20.1 / DI− 22.0: leans SHORT; ADX 22.1 measures strength.
The levels
Entry: 0.9593 – 0.9622
TP1: 0.9521 (-0.9% | 0.75R) [projection]
TP2: 0.9489 (-1.2% | 1.03R) [1h swing]
TP3: 0.9471 (-1.4% | 1.18R) [1h swing]
SL: 0.9724 (+1.2%) [1h swing + ATR floor]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.41R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Entry review: Zone reached; review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 0.9724, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 04 Nov 17:45 UTC | Expires 04 Nov 18:15 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
