🗳️ Midterms done — history says: short-term pain, 12-month gain?
$BTC rose after all 3 recent midterms: +24.5% (2014), +44.9% (2018), +92.3% (2022) in 12 months — avg ~54%.
BUT the path was brutal: median first-3-months return was -31%. In 2018, $BTC crashed -45.5% in the first month before recovering.
S&P 500 rose in ALL 19 midterm years since 1950 (avg +15%).
The CLARITY Act's fate now sits with the new Congress.
Small sample, halving cycle overlap — not a rule, but a pattern worth watching. 👇
#Bitcoin
$BTC rose after all 3 recent midterms: +24.5% (2014), +44.9% (2018), +92.3% (2022) in 12 months — avg ~54%.
BUT the path was brutal: median first-3-months return was -31%. In 2018, $BTC crashed -45.5% in the first month before recovering.
S&P 500 rose in ALL 19 midterm years since 1950 (avg +15%).
The CLARITY Act's fate now sits with the new Congress.
Small sample, halving cycle overlap — not a rule, but a pattern worth watching. 👇
#Bitcoin
