BTC short setup: the levels I'm watching

🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 77209.88 – 77276.72
TP1: 76457.35 (-1.0%)
TP2: 75933.38 (-1.7%)
TP3: 75147.44 (-2.7%)
SL: 78291.23 (+1.4%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, close 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3, and move the stop to entry after TP1.
Note: moderate conviction only, keep size light.

Why SHORT? 3/12 signals agree, 1 against.
• 4h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• 1h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• Sellers have the momentum (4h RSI 36.6)
Risk: BTC is rising, this coin follows (corr 1.00)

The reasoning:
The daily trend reads range, and 3/12 signals aligned favour the short side. The plan is to work the 77209.88 – 77276.72 zone, scale out at 76457.35 and 75933.38, and stay patient for 75147.44. A move through 78291.23 means the idea is wrong and the stop does its job.

Does BTC tag 76457.35 first, or the stop?

Full setup on the chart below.

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⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.