$1000CAT - Trade Setup - WAIT fade the flush bounce
Setup picked: Auction-fade. Liquidation flush to fresh lows with retail still crowded long, fade the bounce.
The plan:
- Sell zone 0.001710-0.001750 (why: 4H breakdown shelf + D1 EMA21 0.001809 cap). Price now 0.001596 = mid-air, do not chase, wait for the bounce leg
- Trigger only after: H1 close taps 0.001710+ then closes back below 0.001700. Start 1/3, add full on H1 rejection close. No trigger = no trade.
- Alt breakdown: only if 4H closes below 0.001560 with volume, then retest 0.001570-0.001590 short
Stop / Targets:
- Hard stop 0.001790 (over shelf + buffer 0.00002)
- TP1 0.001610 (flush consolidation base) take 50% - R ~1.9
- TP2 0.001540 (box low retest) take rest - R ~3.0
When we're wrong (close basis, wicks don't count):
- H4 close above 0.001790 kills idea - cut to 30%
- D1 close above 0.001850 flips bias, stand aside
- BTC D1 close above 81K = cut
Why wait: OI -1.7% = flush not fresh shorts, funding pinned at floor with no crowding signal, retail L/S 3.93 crowded long, top traders 2.27 long, taker sell lean 0.83 #write2earn
Reply with your coin you want analysis on.
Setup picked: Auction-fade. Liquidation flush to fresh lows with retail still crowded long, fade the bounce.
The plan:
- Sell zone 0.001710-0.001750 (why: 4H breakdown shelf + D1 EMA21 0.001809 cap). Price now 0.001596 = mid-air, do not chase, wait for the bounce leg
- Trigger only after: H1 close taps 0.001710+ then closes back below 0.001700. Start 1/3, add full on H1 rejection close. No trigger = no trade.
- Alt breakdown: only if 4H closes below 0.001560 with volume, then retest 0.001570-0.001590 short
Stop / Targets:
- Hard stop 0.001790 (over shelf + buffer 0.00002)
- TP1 0.001610 (flush consolidation base) take 50% - R ~1.9
- TP2 0.001540 (box low retest) take rest - R ~3.0
When we're wrong (close basis, wicks don't count):
- H4 close above 0.001790 kills idea - cut to 30%
- D1 close above 0.001850 flips bias, stand aside
- BTC D1 close above 81K = cut
Why wait: OI -1.7% = flush not fresh shorts, funding pinned at floor with no crowding signal, retail L/S 3.93 crowded long, top traders 2.27 long, taker sell lean 0.83 #write2earn
Reply with your coin you want analysis on.
