$CHZ - Trade Setup - WAIT short the bounce, not the hole.
Setup picked: Trend-momentum. D1 downtrend intact, H4 breakdown flushing to 0.01130 with OI washed out, bounce stalling under broken support.
The plan:
- Sell zone 0.01275-0.01295 (why: H4 breakdown origin plus H1 stall cluster). Price now 0.01242 = below zone, let it come up, no chasing down here.
- Trigger only after: H1 rejection close below 0.01270 after tapping 0.01275 or higher. Start 1/3, add full on H4 close below 0.01235. No trigger = no trade.
- Alt breakdown: only if H4 closes below 0.01192 with volume, then retest 0.01190-0.01205 as new short.
Stop / Targets:
- Hard stop 0.01331 (over H4 swing 0.01320 + buffer 0.00011)
- TP1 0.01192 (flush low retest) take 50% - R ~2.0
- TP2 0.01130 (30d box low) take rest - R ~3.3
When we are wrong (close basis, wicks do not count):
- H4 close above 0.01331 kills idea - cut to 30%
- D1 close above box mid 0.01466 flip bias, stand aside
- BTC D1 close above 81K = cut
Why wait: OI flushed 14.6pct, funding mildly negative, top traders still 2.1x long but off highs, taker sellers in control, BTC weak - short bounces only #write2earn
Reply with your coin you want analysis on.
Setup picked: Trend-momentum. D1 downtrend intact, H4 breakdown flushing to 0.01130 with OI washed out, bounce stalling under broken support.
The plan:
- Sell zone 0.01275-0.01295 (why: H4 breakdown origin plus H1 stall cluster). Price now 0.01242 = below zone, let it come up, no chasing down here.
- Trigger only after: H1 rejection close below 0.01270 after tapping 0.01275 or higher. Start 1/3, add full on H4 close below 0.01235. No trigger = no trade.
- Alt breakdown: only if H4 closes below 0.01192 with volume, then retest 0.01190-0.01205 as new short.
Stop / Targets:
- Hard stop 0.01331 (over H4 swing 0.01320 + buffer 0.00011)
- TP1 0.01192 (flush low retest) take 50% - R ~2.0
- TP2 0.01130 (30d box low) take rest - R ~3.3
When we are wrong (close basis, wicks do not count):
- H4 close above 0.01331 kills idea - cut to 30%
- D1 close above box mid 0.01466 flip bias, stand aside
- BTC D1 close above 81K = cut
Why wait: OI flushed 14.6pct, funding mildly negative, top traders still 2.1x long but off highs, taker sellers in control, BTC weak - short bounces only #write2earn
Reply with your coin you want analysis on.
