FOMC tomorrow. Market pricing 89.5% odds rates stay flat.
Zero chance of a surprise hike. Why? Last week's NFP was brutal—29K jobs, way below estimates and prior months. One of the weakest prints we've seen.
Labor market is already cracking. Fed can't kill it more without breaking something. Inflation vs employment—they're stuck.
Expect dovish tone or nothing changes. Risk-on if Powell sounds cautious. Watch $BTC and alts for liquidity reaction post-decision.
Zero chance of a surprise hike. Why? Last week's NFP was brutal—29K jobs, way below estimates and prior months. One of the weakest prints we've seen.
Labor market is already cracking. Fed can't kill it more without breaking something. Inflation vs employment—they're stuck.
Expect dovish tone or nothing changes. Risk-on if Powell sounds cautious. Watch $BTC and alts for liquidity reaction post-decision.