BTC is falling short term but the daily trend is up.

🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 81550.70 – 81666.10
TP1: 80490.88 (-1.4%)
TP2: 79745.86 (-2.3%)
TP3: 78628.34 (-3.7%)
SL: 83098.43 (+1.8%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, close 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3, and move the stop to entry after TP1.
Caution: counter-trend setup against the bigger trend, only 3 signals confirm it. Size down, respect the stop.

Why SHORT? 3/12 signals agree, 1 against.
• 1h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• BTC is falling, this coin follows (corr 1.00)
• Sellers have the momentum (4h RSI 44.1)
Risk: Daily trend up (above EMA50 & EMA200)

Bear path:
If the short-term momentum keeps fading, price may continue down to the 1h bearish EMA stack, with the 1h RSI below 45 showing bearish momentum.

What kills it:
A daily bullish trend recovery or a daily close above the stacked EMAs would invalidate the setup and I would exit the short.

What daily level would you use to invalidate this short?

Chart with every level below.

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⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.