In the 30 days to October 5, US spot ETF flows, stablecoin growth and corporate treasury buying brought in about $4.9B. Over the same period, the Realized Cap, the value of all coins at the price they last moved, rose by about $12.8B.

New money therefore covers less than two fifths of that rise. The rest is coins changing hands at higher prices among money already in the market. The rallies of 2024 and 2025 showed a similar mix, but on far larger inflows. Until those inflows pick up, the move depends on existing holders paying more
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