Sol is leaning bearish but the picture is not clear yet.

🔴 SHORT $SOL /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 103.7066 – 103.9134
TP1: 102.3983 (-1.4%)
TP2: 101.4572 (-2.3%)
TP3: 100.0455 (-3.6%)
SL: 105.6923 (+1.8%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, close 50% at TP1, 25% at TP2, 25% at TP3, and move the stop to entry after TP1.
Note: moderate conviction only, keep size light.

Why SHORT? 4/12 signals agree, 1 against.
• 4h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• 1h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• Sellers have the momentum (4h RSI 41.1)
Risk: BTC is rising, this coin follows (corr 0.93)

Journal note: SOL
I'm watching for a short entry as the 4h trend remains down with price below both EMA50 and EMA200. The 4h RSI is at 41.1, showing bearish momentum, and SOL is underperforming BTC by 1.14% over the last day. My main doubt is the bullish BTC backdrop, which has a 0.93 correlation with SOL. Conviction is moderate because some factors disagree, and the daily trend is a range.

What is your invalidation level for this trade?

Levels mapped on the chart below.

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