$FIL Price Prediction: Liquidity Sweep Incoming or Bullish Continuation? Key Levels to Watch

Filecoin ($FIL ) is down 3.1% against a backdrop of BTC weakness, but its bullish 1H market structure remains intact. The critical question is whether buyers can defend $1.1164 or if price needs a deeper liquidity sweep before the next recovery.

Market Structure: Bullish, but Under Pressure

FIL has established a higher high at $1.2229 and a higher low at $1.1164. However, bearish 4H divergence against BTC, declining open interest, and weak taker flow suggest that buyers need to prove their strength before the next move higher.

Key Support and Liquidity Zones

- $1.1164: Critical structure support and bullish invalidation level.
- $1.1000–$1.0706: Potential liquidity sweep and demand zone.
- $1.0014: Deeper downside target if selling pressure accelerates.

Bullish Trade Setup

Do not rush into a long position while price is falling. Watch for a liquidity sweep below $1.1164, followed by a strong rejection, bullish engulfing candle, or M5/M15 market structure shift.

Potential upside targets:

- TP1: $1.1515
- TP2: $1.1878
- TP3: $1.2009
- Final resistance: $1.2229

Bearish Invalidation

A confirmed 1H candle close below $1.1164 would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of a move toward $1.0706, with $1.0014 as a deeper downside level.

Derivatives Flow

Open Interest: $61.9M, down 3.6% over 24 hours
Funding Rate: -0.0062%
Taker Buy/Sell Ratio: 0.80x

The current flow data suggests fading participation and stronger taker selling. Negative funding alone does not confirm a short squeeze or reversal.

My Trading Bias: Cautiously bullish while the $1.1164 structure holds on a closing basis. A liquidity sweep followed by clear bullish confirmation could offer a better risk-defined long opportunity. If support breaks decisively, patience is more important than forcing a trade.

Wait for confirmation. Protect your capital. Never chase the price

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