#CPIWatch
CPI Is Out: HOT — Here's My Game Plan
September CPI came in HOT: 3.7% y/y (vs 3.6% expected) and core +0.3% m/m. Energy did the heavy lifting again — but core refusing to cool is what the Fed will stare at.
My read: October 27–28 hike odds just repriced higher (was ~22% pre-print, now 39% per CME FedWatch). 10Y at ~5.26% — watch the 5.36% high. slipped to ~$82,830 (-0.6% from $83,300) as risk repriced.
My plan, not advice:
1. No chasing the first candle — the real move comes when the components get read.
2. Watching vs $TMFUSDT for the rates confirmation before any new risk.
3. $SOL and $BTC bids only on a reclaim of $84,000, not into weakness.
Volatility is the trade here, direction is the trap. #CPIWatch
Not financial advice — my own plan, do your own research.
$BTC
CPI Is Out: HOT — Here's My Game Plan
September CPI came in HOT: 3.7% y/y (vs 3.6% expected) and core +0.3% m/m. Energy did the heavy lifting again — but core refusing to cool is what the Fed will stare at.
My read: October 27–28 hike odds just repriced higher (was ~22% pre-print, now 39% per CME FedWatch). 10Y at ~5.26% — watch the 5.36% high. slipped to ~$82,830 (-0.6% from $83,300) as risk repriced.
My plan, not advice:
1. No chasing the first candle — the real move comes when the components get read.
2. Watching vs $TMFUSDT for the rates confirmation before any new risk.
3. $SOL and $BTC bids only on a reclaim of $84,000, not into weakness.
Volatility is the trade here, direction is the trap. #CPIWatch
Not financial advice — my own plan, do your own research.
$BTC