Can BTC reverse a daily bull trend?

🔴 SHORT $BTC /USDT: expecting price to go DOWN
Bias: SHORT · Leaning

Entry: 81521.24 – 81686.16
TP1: 80206.97 (-1.7%)
TP2: 79275.82 (-2.9%)
TP3: 77879.09 (-4.6%)
SL: 83466.00 (+2.3%)
Plan: enter only inside the zone, take half at TP1, then move the stop to entry.
Caution: counter-trend setup against the bigger trend, only 6 signals confirm it. Size down, respect the stop.

Why SHORT? 6/12 signals agree, 1 against.
• 1h trend down (below EMA50 & EMA200)
• Sellers are driving the move (15m ADX 31.6)
• BTC is falling, this coin follows (corr 1.00)
Risk: Daily trend up (above EMA50 & EMA200)

The reasoning:
The 1h price sits below both EMA50 and EMA200, forming a bearish stack, and the 1h RSI is 26.1, indicating sellers are driving momentum. The daily trend remains bullish, so this is a counter-trend reversal bet that carries more risk than a trend-following setup. Size down, respect the stop, and let the 1h structure confirm the move lower.

What level would make you avoid this short?

Levels mapped on the chart below.

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⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.