Latest retrieved price: 107.57 USDT. Using the 4H trend with 1H entry confirmation, SOL looks bearish overall, but a short-term rebound makes an immediate short less attractive.

Why lean short?

• 4H: Bearish moving-average alignment, with ADX 36.6 supporting a stronger trend.
• 1H: RSI 49.1 and ADX 13.6 suggest neutral, choppy near-term action.
• 15-minute: Bullish alignment warns that the bounce could continue before sellers regain control.

Conditional TP & SL setups

All prices in USDT; these are illustrative scenarios, not active trade signals.

| Level | Preferred: Short on rejection | Alternative: Long after breakout |
|---|---|---|
| Confirmation | Test 108.50–108.90, then a 1H close below 108.50 | 1H close above 109.10, followed by a successful retest |
| Entry zone after confirmation | 108.30–108.50 | 109.10–109.30 |
| SL | 109.25 | 108.45 |
| TP1 | 107.30 | 109.90 |
| TP2 | 106.15 | 111.70 |
| TP3 | 105.65 | — |

The short setup targets the hourly Bollinger midpoint, lower band, and recent daily low. The alternative long targets nearby longer-term hourly averages.

My call: wait for a rejection near 108.50–108.90 rather than chase a short at 107.57. A sustained reclaim of 109.10 weakens the bearish setup; if neither confirmation occurs, stay out.

Event risk: Recent coverage highlights the forthcoming Alpenglow upgrade, but timing is not consistently confirmed—treat upgrade headlines as volatility risk, not an entry signal. [Admirals]

These levels reference spot data; perpetual prices can differ. Keep risk small and remember stops may slip.

Sources

• Binance market snapshot; hourly indicators dated October 14, 2026, 01:00 UTC.
• Admirals — Solana October outlook — upgrade and event-risk context.