Waiting for ETH to break a clear range

$ETH /USDT: NO TRADE YET, waiting for one side to break
Bias: NEUTRAL · 0 bullish vs 2 bearish

What would make me act:
LONG on a 1h close above 2543.74 → targets 2571.16 / 2589.44 / 2616.85, stop 2507.18
SHORT on a 1h close below 2469.16 → targets 2441.74 / 2423.47 / 2396.05, stop 2505.72
In between (3.0% wide): no edge, no trade.

Technical read: NEUTRAL. 0 of 12 signals bullish, 2 bearish, 10 undecided.
For the bears:
• 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack → the short-term trend is down
• 4h RSI: 30.2, bearish momentum (below 45) → sellers have the momentum

What would tip it:
There is no edge right now. The daily trend is a range, so the big picture has no direction. The strongest bearish factor is the 1h trend showing price below EMA50 below EMA200, a bearish stack meaning the short-term trend is down. The strongest bullish factor is the 1h trend being mixed, with price below EMA50 but the EMAs are not stacked, so the swing trend is undecided. Until ETH closes beyond a trigger level on the 1h chart, I am not taking a side.

Which trigger do you think ETH will respect first, 2543.74 on the upside or 2469.16 on the downside.

Full setup on the chart below.

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