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#crypNikkei Jumps 2.5% As Weak U.S. Jobs Data Cuts October Fed Hike Bets
The Nikkei 225 rose ~2.5% Monday as September's 29,000 NFP miss pushed October hike odds below 25% and the 10-year held near 5.25% — elevated but stable rather than surging. Tokyo Electron +5.2%, SoftBank Group +3.1%, TSMC +~3% on reports of talks with Terafab, Elon Musk's planned Texas chip venture. MSCI Asia Pacific gained ~1%. The Nikkei's 2.5% single-session gain contrasts with the KOSPI's worst quarter since Q1 2020 (-19.3% in Q3) — both are AI memory-heavy but Japan's more diversified sector composition and yen weakness near 157.8 provide a buffer Korea's Samsung/SK Hynix-concentrated index doesn't have. The 10-year at 5.25% vs the 5.36% overnight peak suggests the NFP miss has at least stabilized the long-end move without reversing it.
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