Nonfarm +29K Sep vs 90K expected (Dow Jones 84K, Reuters 90K, range 35K-180K) — prior: Aug revised 162K → 133K, July revised +21K → -10K — net -60K revisions* $SAND $VELVET $龙虾
- *Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.1% expected — prev 4.1% — labor force +485K, household employment +78K — participation 61.8% +0.2pp highest since May — unemployed little changed 7.1M*
- *Wages: avg hourly +0.1% m/m vs 0.3% exp, +3.0% y/y vs 3.2% exp, Aug 3.1% — smallest y/y since May 2021 — avg prior 12M gain 45K, health +17K vs avg 33K*
- *Market: BTC ∼$86.6K +2%, Nasdaq futures +1.2%, S&P +0.7-0.8% — 10Y yield -7bp to 5.17% — 2Y -10bp to 4.69% — Gold +1% — traders cut Oct hike prob 22% → 17% (23% per some), 86% hold — Fitch: "low-hire, low-fire" — RBC: 29K healthy vs breakeven 20K — seasonal distortion cited: Labor Day late Sep*
BREAKING 🇺🇸 Jobs Sep: +29K vs ∼90K exp, unemployment 4.2% vs 4.1% exp/prev 4.1% 📊 Aug 162K→133K, Jul +21K→-10K (-60K net) — participation 61.8% +0.2pp, wages +0.1% m/m +3.0% y/y vs 3.2% exp — Fed Oct hike odds 22%→17%, 10Y 5.17% -7bp, Nasdaq +1.2%, BTC ∼86.6K 📉*#CerebrasSinksNearly20%OnReportNvidiaToPowerOpenAI #SECProposesCryptoCustodyRules
- *Unemployment 4.2% vs 4.1% expected — prev 4.1% — labor force +485K, household employment +78K — participation 61.8% +0.2pp highest since May — unemployed little changed 7.1M*
- *Wages: avg hourly +0.1% m/m vs 0.3% exp, +3.0% y/y vs 3.2% exp, Aug 3.1% — smallest y/y since May 2021 — avg prior 12M gain 45K, health +17K vs avg 33K*
- *Market: BTC ∼$86.6K +2%, Nasdaq futures +1.2%, S&P +0.7-0.8% — 10Y yield -7bp to 5.17% — 2Y -10bp to 4.69% — Gold +1% — traders cut Oct hike prob 22% → 17% (23% per some), 86% hold — Fitch: "low-hire, low-fire" — RBC: 29K healthy vs breakeven 20K — seasonal distortion cited: Labor Day late Sep*
BREAKING 🇺🇸 Jobs Sep: +29K vs ∼90K exp, unemployment 4.2% vs 4.1% exp/prev 4.1% 📊 Aug 162K→133K, Jul +21K→-10K (-60K net) — participation 61.8% +0.2pp, wages +0.1% m/m +3.0% y/y vs 3.2% exp — Fed Oct hike odds 22%→17%, 10Y 5.17% -7bp, Nasdaq +1.2%, BTC ∼86.6K 📉*#CerebrasSinksNearly20%OnReportNvidiaToPowerOpenAI #SECProposesCryptoCustodyRules
