BUYBACKS WERE THE WARM-UP.
$AAVE VE ripped after Stani floated a real burn in Aavenomics 3.0 — not another reserve dump, a supply delete.
Tokenized stocks just hit a record $3.5B market cap and grabbed ~11% of DEX volume.
DeFi is turning protocol revenue into a supply shock while TradFi sneaks onchain.
Watch the proposal. Not the 1h candle.
$AAVE $ETH
$AAVE 4H Structure Check (as of ~17:23 EAT, 30 Sep 2026)
Price: ~$159–$161
24h action: Pulled back 4–6% after the burn-narrative spike that tagged ~$166–$176.
Catalyst status: Still pure narrative. Stani floated a burn under Aavenomics 3.0 — no formal proposal, no size, no funding details, no vote. Buybacks already exist and park tokens in the DAO reserve.
4H Market Structure
Vertical expansion on 29 Sep broke prior resistance and converted it into potential support.
Current price is consolidating just above the first major demand zone.
4H trend still reads up on several scanners, but RSI cooled to the mid-50s (neutral after overbought readings on lower timeframes).
Funding positive (~+0.01%/8h on Binance) → longs paying shorts. Crowded long bias after the move.
Liquidations: Mixed, with notable long liquidations on the pullback. 24h total across venues ~$2M+.
Key Levels (4H / near-term)
Support
$159 zone (current major)
$152–$155 (critical structural pivot)
$145–$148 (deeper demand if the above fails)
Resistance
$165–$168 (session high / reclaim zone)
$174–$175 (prior high / next magnet)
$180+ (major overhead)
Bias & Invalidation
Bullish structure remains intact only while price holds above ~$152–$155 on a 4H close.
A clean reclaim and 4H close above $168 would reopen the path toward $175.
Loss of $152 increases odds of a deeper retrace into the $145–$148 area and weakens the post-spike structure.
Bottom line: Burn talk is still optionality, not confirmed supply destruction. Price is digesting the move. Watch the $152–$155 line closely — that is the real invalidation for the current 4H bullish structure.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
$AAVE VE ripped after Stani floated a real burn in Aavenomics 3.0 — not another reserve dump, a supply delete.
Tokenized stocks just hit a record $3.5B market cap and grabbed ~11% of DEX volume.
DeFi is turning protocol revenue into a supply shock while TradFi sneaks onchain.
Watch the proposal. Not the 1h candle.
$AAVE $ETH
$AAVE 4H Structure Check (as of ~17:23 EAT, 30 Sep 2026)
Price: ~$159–$161
24h action: Pulled back 4–6% after the burn-narrative spike that tagged ~$166–$176.
Catalyst status: Still pure narrative. Stani floated a burn under Aavenomics 3.0 — no formal proposal, no size, no funding details, no vote. Buybacks already exist and park tokens in the DAO reserve.
4H Market Structure
Vertical expansion on 29 Sep broke prior resistance and converted it into potential support.
Current price is consolidating just above the first major demand zone.
4H trend still reads up on several scanners, but RSI cooled to the mid-50s (neutral after overbought readings on lower timeframes).
Funding positive (~+0.01%/8h on Binance) → longs paying shorts. Crowded long bias after the move.
Liquidations: Mixed, with notable long liquidations on the pullback. 24h total across venues ~$2M+.
Key Levels (4H / near-term)
Support
$159 zone (current major)
$152–$155 (critical structural pivot)
$145–$148 (deeper demand if the above fails)
Resistance
$165–$168 (session high / reclaim zone)
$174–$175 (prior high / next magnet)
$180+ (major overhead)
Bias & Invalidation
Bullish structure remains intact only while price holds above ~$152–$155 on a 4H close.
A clean reclaim and 4H close above $168 would reopen the path toward $175.
Loss of $152 increases odds of a deeper retrace into the $145–$148 area and weakens the post-spike structure.
Bottom line: Burn talk is still optionality, not confirmed supply destruction. Price is digesting the move. Watch the $152–$155 line closely — that is the real invalidation for the current 4H bullish structure.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
