MARKET MOVE ALERT | OIL BREAKS +3%

At 16:49 ICT on September 28, WTI traded at $95.49, up 3.33%, while Brent reached $107.78, up 3.32% versus the prior close. Since 15:41 ICT, the gains were only about 0.77% and 0.51%, so these are session moves—not one-hour reactions.

Confirmed catalyst — High confidence: the U.S. rejected Iran’s proposal, keeping uncertainty around reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Transmission — High confidence: higher oil strengthens inflation and Fed-hike concerns, maintaining pressure on gold. XAUUSD was near $4,148, down 3.21%; silver was $61.14, down 4.86%. BTC was around $82,589, down 2.51% over 24 hours.

Next: U.S.–Iran talks and Dallas Fed at 21:30 ICT.

For informational purposes only, not financial advice.