🏛️ Fed hiked — the move nobody felt
Wednesday 2PM — Warsh delivered the first rate hike since 2023. (cite index="16-1">Rates moved from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%. And $BTC barely moved. Why? Because as we explained in our article during the week — when a move is priced in at 92%, the event itself carries almost zero new information. The hike was the most telegraphed decision of the year. What the market actually watched was Warsh's press conference — and his tone confirmed what Jackson Hole already said. Inflation first. No cuts in sight. December hike probability stays at 70%+. 🧠
🏛️ Fed hiked: +25bps — rates now 3.75%–4.00%
📊 Probability priced in: 92% before decision
😐 $BTC reaction: minimal — priced in weeks ago
🚨 December hike probability: 70%+ — not done hiking
⚠️ Warsh tone: hawkish, inflation focus confirmed
#dyor #RateHike #fedhiked
Wednesday 2PM — Warsh delivered the first rate hike since 2023. (cite index="16-1">Rates moved from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%. And $BTC barely moved. Why? Because as we explained in our article during the week — when a move is priced in at 92%, the event itself carries almost zero new information. The hike was the most telegraphed decision of the year. What the market actually watched was Warsh's press conference — and his tone confirmed what Jackson Hole already said. Inflation first. No cuts in sight. December hike probability stays at 70%+. 🧠
🏛️ Fed hiked: +25bps — rates now 3.75%–4.00%
📊 Probability priced in: 92% before decision
😐 $BTC reaction: minimal — priced in weeks ago
🚨 December hike probability: 70%+ — not done hiking
⚠️ Warsh tone: hawkish, inflation focus confirmed
#dyor #RateHike #fedhiked