XAU is rolling over and I want to fade the bounce.
Journal note: XAU
$XAU /USDT · Bias: SHORT · 6/12 signals aligned
Technical verdict: STRONG SHORT. 6 of 12 signals aligned, 0 against.
What supports it (6):
• Daily trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• 4h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 23.0 with sellers in control (DI+ 9.5 vs DI− 25.7)
• 1h RSI: 33.8, bearish momentum (below 45)
No factor points the other way right now.
I'm watching XAU from the 4h perspective with the daily trend bearish and price beneath a stacked EMA50/EMA200. I want to see the 1h price stay near 4351.53 or lower, with the 4h RSI holding below 55 and ADX 23.0 confirming sellers in control. The main thing that would make me wrong is a move above 4370.91, which is my invalidation level. My first target sits at 4330.78, with follow-ups at 4316.94 and 4296.19.
Where the levels sit:
🛑 SL: 4379.20
📍 Entry: 4349.75 – 4353.31
🎯 TP1: 4330.78
🎯 TP2: 4316.94
🎯 TP3: 4296.19
💬 Where would you put your invalidation if you favored the long side here?
Full setup on the chart 👇
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
Journal note: XAU
$XAU /USDT · Bias: SHORT · 6/12 signals aligned
Technical verdict: STRONG SHORT. 6 of 12 signals aligned, 0 against.
What supports it (6):
• Daily trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• 4h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 23.0 with sellers in control (DI+ 9.5 vs DI− 25.7)
• 1h RSI: 33.8, bearish momentum (below 45)
No factor points the other way right now.
I'm watching XAU from the 4h perspective with the daily trend bearish and price beneath a stacked EMA50/EMA200. I want to see the 1h price stay near 4351.53 or lower, with the 4h RSI holding below 55 and ADX 23.0 confirming sellers in control. The main thing that would make me wrong is a move above 4370.91, which is my invalidation level. My first target sits at 4330.78, with follow-ups at 4316.94 and 4296.19.
Where the levels sit:
🛑 SL: 4379.20
📍 Entry: 4349.75 – 4353.31
🎯 TP1: 4330.78
🎯 TP2: 4316.94
🎯 TP3: 4296.19
💬 Where would you put your invalidation if you favored the long side here?
Full setup on the chart 👇
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.
