🇺🇸 WHAT TO WATCH TODAY — U.S. MARKETS

6:30 PM ET Thu. — 🇯🇵 Japan CPI
~10:30–11:30 PM ET Thu. — 🇯🇵 BOJ Rate Decision
2:00 AM ET — 🇬🇧 UK Retail Sales
2:30 AM ET — 🎙️ BOJ Governor Ueda
9:15 AM ET — 🇺🇸 Industrial Production
9:30 AM ET — 🏦 Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman
10:00 AM ET — 🇺🇸 Leading Economic Index
All Day — ⚡ Quarterly Options/Futures Expiration

🔥 BOJ — KEY EVENT

The BOJ is expected to raise rates 25bp to 1.25%.

With a hike largely anticipated, the bigger catalyst will be Ueda’s guidance on further tightening.

Hawkish BOJ → JPY/JGB yields ↑ → carry trades pressured → global yields potentially ↑

🇺🇸 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

August industrial production and capacity utilization arrive at 9:15 AM ET.

A strong print could reinforce the higher-rate narrative following this week’s Fed decision.

🏦 FED — BOWMAN

Michelle Bowman speaks at 9:30 AM ET — the first scheduled Fed policymaker appearance after the FOMC.

Markets will listen closely for any clues on the post-FOMC rate path and inflation outlook.

⚡ QUARTERLY EXPIRATION

Friday is a major derivatives expiration session.

Expect potentially elevated volume and positioning-driven volatility, particularly around the open and closing auction.

🛢️ OIL

No EIA inventory report today, but crude remains an important inflation and rates driver.

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