🥇 GOLD +1.8% | 🥈SILVER +3.6%
Post-Fed rebound, not a regime change.
Spot gold bounced back above $4,340 (~$4,341, +1.83%).
Silver ripped to ~$65.12 (+3.59%).
What actually moved the metals Thursday:
• Softer USD
• Oil pullback (WTI ~$101.91 / Brent ~$104.82)
• 10Y yield eased to 4.93% from 5.01%
The Fed still hiked 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00% and left the door open for another hike. Medium-term rates stay restrictive. Yesterday’s rally happened because oil + yields gave gold a temporary pass — not because policy flipped dovish.
Geopolitics: Hormuz supply fears eased a bit as extra crude moved via Oman. That cooled inflation pressure and helped both metals and equities. Conflict is NOT resolved. Oil still has a geopolitical floor, which keeps a background bid under bullion.
📊 Technicals (not a full reset yet) :
Gold
🔺 Bulls need a sustained break above $4,354 → $4,403 then $4,434
🔻 Bears: lose $4,283 → $4,256 then $4,216
First res: $4,354 / $4,403
First sup: $4,283 / $4,256
Silver
🔺 Bulls need $65.73 → $66.99 then $68.17
🔻 Bears: lose $63.44 → $62.38 then $62.06
First res: $65.73 / $66.99
First sup: $63.44 / $62.38
⚖️ Weekend trader note
This is a relief bounce after the first hike in 3+ years.
Don’t chase the green candle.
Gold stays constructive only while oil and yields stay soft.
A fresh jump in crude or 10Y back above 5% can fade this move fast.
Bias into Friday / weekend:
• Hold longs only if gold holds above $4,330–4,340 and silver above $64.80
• Fade strength into $4,354 / $65.73 unless those levels break and hold
• Size down. Weekend headline risk (oil / Hormuz / rates) is real.
NFA. Confirm live prices. Trade the levels, not the narrative.
👉TRADE $XAU OR $XAG HERE👇
Post-Fed rebound, not a regime change.
Spot gold bounced back above $4,340 (~$4,341, +1.83%).
Silver ripped to ~$65.12 (+3.59%).
What actually moved the metals Thursday:
• Softer USD
• Oil pullback (WTI ~$101.91 / Brent ~$104.82)
• 10Y yield eased to 4.93% from 5.01%
The Fed still hiked 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00% and left the door open for another hike. Medium-term rates stay restrictive. Yesterday’s rally happened because oil + yields gave gold a temporary pass — not because policy flipped dovish.
Geopolitics: Hormuz supply fears eased a bit as extra crude moved via Oman. That cooled inflation pressure and helped both metals and equities. Conflict is NOT resolved. Oil still has a geopolitical floor, which keeps a background bid under bullion.
📊 Technicals (not a full reset yet) :
Gold
🔺 Bulls need a sustained break above $4,354 → $4,403 then $4,434
🔻 Bears: lose $4,283 → $4,256 then $4,216
First res: $4,354 / $4,403
First sup: $4,283 / $4,256
Silver
🔺 Bulls need $65.73 → $66.99 then $68.17
🔻 Bears: lose $63.44 → $62.38 then $62.06
First res: $65.73 / $66.99
First sup: $63.44 / $62.38
⚖️ Weekend trader note
This is a relief bounce after the first hike in 3+ years.
Don’t chase the green candle.
Gold stays constructive only while oil and yields stay soft.
A fresh jump in crude or 10Y back above 5% can fade this move fast.
Bias into Friday / weekend:
• Hold longs only if gold holds above $4,330–4,340 and silver above $64.80
• Fade strength into $4,354 / $65.73 unless those levels break and hold
• Size down. Weekend headline risk (oil / Hormuz / rates) is real.
NFA. Confirm live prices. Trade the levels, not the narrative.
👉TRADE $XAU OR $XAG HERE👇
