ETH at a Crossroads: Will CPI Trigger Rate Hike? #CPIWatch

I see Ethereum trading at $2,523.03 on the 1H chart, consolidating after a sharp rejection from the $2,546 resistance level. Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations, but the real test is CPI. Do I think the Fed will hike or hold? I believe they will HOLD unless CPI comes in materially hotter than expected. One strong jobs report does not erase the broader disinflation trend.

I notice the EMAs are acting as immediate dynamic resistance, with EMA7 at $2,526 and EMA14 at $2,527, while the price trades slightly below them. The MACD shows a bearish crossover (DIF below DEA at -2.60), and the RSI is weak at 39.86, indicating bearish momentum is still in control. The Parabolic SAR dots sit above at $2,545, confirming short-term downside pressure. Immediate support lies at $2,433.

Bullish or bearish? I am cautiously optimistic. If CPI cools, I expect a HOLD, and ETH could reclaim the $2,600 zone. If CPI runs hot, I expect a HIKE, and we might retest the $2,433 support. I hold spot ETH as a core position, and I use the trade sharing widget to track my exposure. No leverage before the data.

What is your call: hike or hold? Bullish or bearish on ETH? Share your trade with #CPIWatch .

Not financial advice. DYOR.
$ETH